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昨天美国公布了当周失业金数据,失业人数继续高于预期,失业增加有利于未来的通胀控制,能够有效缓解加息趋势,另一方面失业人数升高后,会对美国的经济衰退产生较大影响。所以隔夜的美股是先拉起来又砸下去,可以说近期的就业数据只要不符合预期,都属于利空范畴,这在以往的文章中狂人也说过很多次,就业人数比预期高二通胀控制不力二加息预期,就业人数比预期低二经济衰退。风险市场正反都能下跌,所以未来一段时间公布非农数据和失业数据时,大家应该做到心中有数。 马斯克的星舰炸了,特斯拉和狗狗币均出现较大幅度的回调,但马斯克并没有因此气馁,反而鼓励公司认为这次是成功的试验,并在不久的将来会再次发射。这就是成功人士的思维,永远不放弃,永远保持乐观的心态,我们炒币也应该具备这样的心态,财富才更易积累。相信未来星舰能够创造奇迹,带领人类去往新的星球。 隔夜美联储几位官员发了言,对未来的预期并不一致,甚至可以说是分歧较大,所以说了一堆基本等于没说,无论如何,加息概率现在已经升至82.5%,不加息概率仅17.5%,5月份加息基本已经确定,重点要关注利率决议后鲍威尔的发言,能否出现一些鸽派言论。狂人觉得可能还不是时候,毕竟CPI还没有明显被抑制,真正的鸽派发言很可能会在6月份开始,所以市场在5月中下旬或许是更好的做多时间。 欧盟正式通过了MICA法案,意味着欧洲的加密市场正式合规,属于长期利好,未来欧洲的资金可以大胆的在市场里折腾了,其实这些监管的路只要能够铺好,未来随着牛市进程的到来,自然会有更多的资金进来,市场也会承载更多的流动性,属于正向循环,铺路是很重要的基础建设。 大饼弱势程度超过了预期,一路阴跌没有反弹,这种不加速的下跌最可怕,持续的走下降趋势,重要支撑28500给跌破了,那么后面很可能会继续寻找26500附近的支撑,回调是正常的,19000涨到31000,洗一洗无可厚非,等待宏观环境的转暖吧。 小币就没啥看头了,都是些垃圾在涨,没啥持续性,大饼走成这样,小币先不参与了。 : z# F' T! U* O6 _- h1 b
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