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[lastpost] => 2807252 以太坊 2026 年转型：为什么基于证明的验证对节点至关重要（转） 1771501378 舞出精彩
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& \- R1 O# B. x比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 7 n7 u# c7 @ `9 ~0 C/ l9 o- H
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监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
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: Y+ B4 W& h5 E- i7 F( D, R专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。
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; @. |0 ^ n q9 M6 G# I! D有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技' a$ M: B& s) ?% [6 m4 g2 [
& E8 d9 d: X" ` _& K/ p2 y3 ^" e# u6 p& d股等风险较高的投资。 8 _, `( I" W& Q# }! I+ `
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芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储
. y3 c- U* h2 O( O/ U# t* S- q ~! \" W) Y$ w$ w- i |
明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。
, \" }& x; d4 c4 C: ^, E- R
+ e! ^/ |( i7 \# z( |( H' Y4 p) }4 a现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动+ o9 l/ G- }3 _% [
( z* h2 J9 `1 t7 y因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
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, }4 @! B8 Y) }! A/ @ I从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
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- x% r; F/ h7 ?/ _: E5 f更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此3 L5 v. _' h8 I1 v( f' q! m9 g
" v* Y. T: ]# ~, w* L% M$ g仍有许多交易商可能买入。
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' P% _ N$ R1 v- a V3 b库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的, |2 O$ }# x2 w! {. n
; K' D& _: B. z) i9 [推动力之一。
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02
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有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
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需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
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加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣
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/ x, a3 |/ S: y+ m+ ?的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。” ' |5 ?. {4 a+ `9 W
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至
8 Z5 h. e: a4 ]9 T! Y3 h0 j" w. _6 y1 k5 W. x/ c' C9 v& q
今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 0 _+ g) F! N) i/ x+ p7 N# o9 T
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