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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：8 q$ A$ }9 q" S4 r& {
至少有以下几个原因：' G, D+ e" G+ s& |
6 _+ Y9 M. f8 }9 k1 d" t8 `1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。# X# [5 \3 Y6 m/ H& u6 f2 b5 L9 }
( i1 t, X) _- a
在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化" G# e9 z& F" B y% ?. i& y$ a3 q$ [
- B' Q% i6 o C5 D: X# [
机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
: E6 P& H# E$ D! R
1 d# |% m5 h) s. Q; o" }2 Y出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到2 S! e4 u9 @; x% z/ y5 {; K" S8 M3 |
. U0 j* T, R* g/ [- h' N
325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数
3 N6 `8 t+ ^! C! d$ Z" e4 ~2 O3 S' j9 T8 j o8 A
据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有
6 ?5 l h# u8 T2 M3 r( ?, F
2 t1 r( b& n7 J- e) F5 Q达到200亿美金）2 n' w4 d4 E! Q8 e
6 @4 Y8 F, \+ T! x8 w# i7 P4 k3 Q( S/ S
2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊
- x' X" O: f1 H8 H
& |# a8 r8 q- z更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化9 O+ L1 i9 O* s6 [" C
- ` H! Y1 a, `2 o. T- K5 E; B的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。# ]. ]: E( l( b2 _0 S* f u& a+ {! P
2 ]% l( g7 c5 l) X4 o7 W8 M% t3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大
! }# o+ P3 { B8 l$ c. V" ]$ n4 B9 z: A9 U5 M
资金的信任和青睐。: `9 R1 D5 I* l/ |
/ P9 a' W# j3 T$ h% _ X4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美
7 `. Y* s$ [. f9 [) o/ N9 q: ]) z; j I9 _
金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入% ^ p( V+ z% O* [
- D3 ~1 A% D- `. b: i比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。$ y# n6 }8 m8 o$ }
4 W9 R$ u0 r. {! b: R; \' T
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