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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。
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; f% _! F0 |) t4 B! O$ y3 H3 l) B9 z由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。+ Z [0 Q v" z
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比特币重新分配正在进行
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5 U! S o0 b; H' M) O6 _目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。2 n$ q, Q7 l% l9 j: N0 Q. p
2 {2 j& J: N) a( ]( U* p/ O0 M目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。; F& @6 k; O& ~
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然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。' }! n2 h1 e, n2 l) d3 L
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I1 ~, A. C3 ~9 _6 E% s. Y2 [根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。
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通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。
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+ V* a) g3 }2 N; @' d仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。- W& e# }; V1 `) Q
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当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。8 y, ]" O0 { j/ |, R
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3 `: M2 b, v8 ]3 ^: T% X& a比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微
$ ~# H5 g s* _, p% F7 ]9 I" j. v+ xCryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。% U L) F- [2 W0 Q4 i( V
* Y8 {/ b: C6 k! F4 \* x* @本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。5 A! y( Y- u1 S c1 M) k, b
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一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。
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/ S; g: K- v o) f4 d z2 a: m现货交易商调整4 m+ _4 N, {5 X- G% ]8 m6 S# h8 w
" R' b5 S* @. Q) Z+ o9 x现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。
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9 D/ ~* {, H/ `+ d: R- I4 T! x: f仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。' [$ V+ E, f" c0 y9 L/ c
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如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。
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