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[虚拟币交流]
比特币优势,山寨币季节的赔率以及这个深层市场重置(转)
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比特币的优势现在超过63%,标志着所有指标的altcoins的看跌环境; P. q% ]5 j4 f; [% C8 K1 r
Stablecoin流动暗示了一个风险阶段,延迟了任何主要的Altcoin突破
) G# g' c. h; j0 M+ Q似乎比特币[BTC]现在正在收紧对更广泛的加密货币市场的控制。3 `" l2 Z) h [# f- W/ ~1 \3 c
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实际上,由于其统治地位超过63%,最新的市场结构可能暗示了对山寨币的艰苦挣扎。
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这种转变由Alphractal首席执行官Joao Wedson在推文中,比特币价格与Altcoin季节指数进行了对比。
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在撰写本文时,不到25%的Altcoins似乎胜过比特币 - 一个教科书比特币季节。
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红色海洋中的四个幸存者& w" _6 r6 G* {% B5 h
根据Alphractal的说法,在57个AltCoins中,只有4个胜过比特币,该比特币本身在图表上下降了-17.6%。在少数优于表现的人中pancakeswap [蛋糕]发布了唯一的正回报,数字为 +10.5%。5 p; R! O ]1 C' O0 B
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简而言之,表现不佳。8 G# T4 j" t) P! X2 i( N
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大多数Altcoins返回-20%至-72%,6月的领先损失为-72.4%。尽管比特币自身在图表上下降,但仍然仍然是一个相对的避风港。8 E8 C9 A# p+ K; F) M$ b
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相反,Altcoin“主导”告诉我们同样的故事。; b5 O M$ b% f' p! A$ q7 v
- v# r. u. M) k& @5 d9 @1 ?& S自11月以来,Altcoin市场份额已从41%下降到37%。除了稳定剂外,它实际上从35%降至28%。
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/ ^: v% W1 j0 b+ \7 X3 VAltcoin信誉的消失法案: t5 ]' ~" Q; l* }
滤除比特币,以太坊和稳定币的粉刷均匀的图片,相同的股票从23%下降到20%。鉴于所有发生的事情,上述下降仅证实了非比币资产中缺乏投资者的信念。
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+ V/ @: Y- \! |3 c, K交易的势头最近也消失了。% M5 H6 t" `- ~2 `
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12月5日,Altcoin市值达到了1.43万亿美元的峰值,数量为5426.3亿美元。然而,到4月3日,这些数字降至97564亿美元和1,373.1亿美元,分别降至32%和296%。: o& e4 }8 f4 B& Z7 `; s' s
, M4 j! f' f( ?% d这些数字描绘了投资者信心减弱的图片。
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% d3 r4 y, _4 g- J十二月的尖峰没有持续。到3月,在价格和参与中,这种趋势显然已经向南行驶。
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比特币在优势上的上升也与Stablecoin供应率(SSR)的明显信号相吻合。; }" l# ]: Y7 ]5 i. F8 `8 b. k
. o2 a5 Q& v( a1 {3 y; t# e当高峰转向警告时* L. e% X3 J( ]6 x3 V
2月23日,由于比特币价格和SSR同时达到顶峰,因此2月23日是一个转折点。
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6 X6 x5 E% s. r- ~7 r: o) V比特币以96,209美元的价格达到顶峰,同时为16.03 SSR。但是,在三天之内,两者都急剧逆转。到4月,BTC跌至81,800美元,而SSR降至14.21。
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这种比对可以看作是流动性如何移动信号趋势耗尽的迹象。重要的是,尽管比特币自身损失,但其市场的主导地位就上升了,没有下降。
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每个指标都会得出相同的结论 - Altcoin季节很少见,简短且脆弱。比特币优势(现在超过63%)反映了一个合并的市场,资本流入了人们的安全性。
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+ G0 Q1 Z2 h/ C1 |比特币还是胸围?' K8 [/ T1 r/ _& w2 ^2 J2 C
存在围绕山寨币的短期乐观情绪。但是,数据还表明,如果没有统治性和流动性的结构转移,任何集会都可能保持孤立和简短。& g' ]7 ^" O( @6 P, M- W/ ~
; e% D+ E: E% l" g. T就目前而言,聪明的钱似乎停在比特币中,或者在等待的地方。
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