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[虚拟币交流]
比特币以98,000美元的价格违反了疑问，那么为什么投资者仍然谨慎？（转）
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比特币集会高于$ 98K，与持续的负面投资者情绪形成鲜明对比；难以置信的可能性可能表明机会。- c g9 g4 y3 ^; s c( ]
大量的ETF流入促进了BTC，但2022年风险的风险仍然可能使这种动力脱轨。
; d$ A2 q4 K, L# Y尽管比特币[BTC]令人印象深刻的持有超过$ 98K的大关，投资者的情绪越来越低。这引起了一波怀疑，在牛市中，这感觉奇怪的是不合时宜。
, _. C+ D- i6 J) ^- r* y% c% f/ T8 F v' ?4 i; k7 K' b
市场是否难以置信，兴奋不已？还是这些信号反映了2022熊市？% q! `* u8 {0 H
+ K8 V) t* L, `. D; I随着BTC最近的[激增]重点势头，当前的气候可能与基本面一样由心理学来驱动。3 t, h. f0 E* D; i. m. }
2 V. ~& J- _( S1 D: ]牛un云蒙上阴影
/ @9 f! H8 P0 l" A% r- x3 [最近的数据显示比特币X（以前为Twitter）和新闻平台上的价格和普遍情绪。
+ u, J c; @# _, p" e8 K, e
; i9 q% k& ?6 W' e. k, i即使BTC交易自信地超过9.8万美元，平均7天的平均情绪仍然牢固地负面 - 这种模式在历史上与本地底部和逆势购买机会有关。2 \2 z9 w( a% K# ]9 ~8 }" C
( { r( ^9 m; |" `- n8 P这种持续的难以置信表明市场在心理上落后于价格行动。
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8 c$ w- D; z' L- d- t5 G尽管这种情绪下降以前曾在看涨逆转之前，但值得记住的是2022年的警告性故事，在这种情况下，延长的消极情绪与长时间的熊阶段相吻合。
4 p3 I2 W3 j; P+ m+ Y1 t4 K! p& c4 g6 U F' Y
BTC背后的机构引擎" ^5 S$ U% C. t
在ETF流图表：经过数周的一致流出后，四月迎来了大量ETF流入的政权。% e, s) T1 I) U- J
$ U8 w6 q" V! q5 |
这种重新获得的机构兴趣主要由贝莱德（Blackrock）和富达（Fidelity）等巨人领导，似乎使比特币向上驱动了势头，将其推向了9.8万美元的大关。* {9 ]; j9 _! t7 I1 T ]1 B
8 }! s+ _% h8 w# Z6 G7 [
与较早几个月的挥发性流动不同，该阶段显示出稳定的每日净流入，表明了强烈的长期信念。 x- l% I! h& b
1 W# g8 J3 O6 g. q3 U机构信心可能是[激增]的关键力量，即使零售情绪仍然谨慎。* `, E2 E: S: Z \! H
6 t# c) A" K* e; _
怎么了？. M$ `1 Z+ ~1 E( s8 E+ B
尽管ETF流入信号乐观，但历史使投资者保持谨慎。
" x, O' M# n: ?2 \' {4 S/ i( C1 f. W* K7 k- F% d% g
2022年，由机构产品和宏观趋势驱动的看涨情绪，由于流动性冲击和杠杆率过多而崩溃。' m8 Y1 Z) ^- S; }
7 O% o) m" D0 C1 }2 P0 L
风险食欲或监管压力的突然转移可能会触发快速流出，从而逆转最近的收益。% v4 t ]6 C/ M- R; W
" L6 ]% l( s7 D7 t' l& S. A8 E尽管ETF提供了透明度，但它们并不能阻止比特币免受市场波动的影响。如果流入缓慢或转向赎回，比特币可能会面临类似于过去周期的抛售。
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