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[虚拟币交流] 比特币关键指标再次闪烁——BTC 会反弹至新高吗？（转）
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1#
随着比特币徘徊在历史高点附近，积极的购买行为再次出现，但鲸鱼的行为却呈现出分歧。
' `  N2 h3 Z* e' C" p4 z/ lRSI 信号超买水平，而 MACD 动量减弱——BTC 需要突破 105,000 美元，否则有回调风险。
5 f2 G' U5 h+ C- c+ m/ _  t9 I比特币的[BTC]随着积极的买家涌入市场，市场势头再次增强。6 l9 n0 X+ A1 E! H6 ]# |& t/ ~

. H& ]0 a  A# `" ]9 f+ W7 ]4 _3 y, D接受者买入/卖出比率已飙升至 1.02，这是自几次历史性突破以来从未见过的水平，表明市场参与者的信心日益增强。
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: t3 ?  T7 a% {) y链上数据显示，大型钱包正在加大增持力度，为许多人猜测的可能创下历史新高的最后冲刺做好准备。% G; V0 a+ z( U9 |' e1 q& @4 x
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随着市场情绪升温，BTC 价格徘徊在之前的峰值下方，下一轮上涨行情是否即将开始？2 ~- Y2 f- q" W$ v  w3 t, q1 O

: i, d9 A  M% o( m4 R2 Q+ j* R市场信心[激增]？
9 N, Y+ z6 n/ o- g根据最近的CryptoQuant 报告，Taker 买入/卖出比率已果断突破 1.00 大关，达到 1.02——这一水平在历史上与比特币价格走势的突破时刻相关。
% Q' d& R" A( N1 z9 G- Y  F" J9 W# \" K5 V; y. w8 M. k9 T& a
2022 年末，在 15,000 美元至 20,000 美元的积累区附近以及 2023 年 10 月突破 30,000 美元之前也出现了类似的峰值。
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2 a) A0 ~. \$ q6 |" t随着 BTC 目前徘徊在历史高点附近，积极购买的回归表明人们的信心日益增强——但这也提高了风险，因为这个门槛此前曾先于上涨和急剧逆转。
6 p, ?- H! x- J- {' r; b( _( t
3 p7 A. `/ {+ e" S) H) j2 R超级持有者已暂停
: J# ?) J" x; _# l# @' i尽管总体积累趋势依然看涨，但仔细观察就会发现行为发生了微妙的转变。; E0 @7 G4 M, ^- _$ x0 @

/ A# i1 P! o# R$ Z根据 Glassnode，持有超过 10,000 BTC 的超大鲸鱼已经冷却了他们的购买活动，回到了 0.5 左右的中性积累分数。+ K+ q7 _& J6 k. j' R2 _5 E2 M3 h

' d; m! y/ t4 C, b( g2 s相比之下，中等规模的群体（持有 1,000 至 10,000 BTC 的钱包）仍然是活跃的买家，得分接近 0.9。
7 [; A( W' N/ G
4 b+ W3 b' c( o; q5 c! _% G即使是规模较小的机构投资者也表现出持续的强劲势头。然而，散户投资者仍在继续分散资金。" O7 K0 `+ f' W$ t, O, g
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尽管看涨势头持续，但推动涨势的主要是中等规模的投资者，而非资金雄厚的投资者。& G) S2 P( p# t1 ?

1 j7 a3 _) @. Q比特币显示出疲软迹象
! E% ^. {$ ~. i' zRSI 为 70.68，确认了超买状况，这通常是局部顶部或小幅回调的前兆。) A* Y& N- Y+ n& @& `
2 v. E. D/ ]/ `4 O7 Z+ k! m
此外，MACD指标仍保持看涨，MACD线位于信号线上方。然而，动能正在趋于平缓，反映出购买压力正在降温。
( T% h7 U, {+ g) J$ P6 ^6 r" q# {1 N  [+ ~$ \: R+ Y. k: k2 B- b
尽管早些时候出现飙升，但价格仍然维持区间波动，暗示可能出现疲软。, g( U1 C) a2 i8 e. |

7 R7 F9 \: I& [6 @% D: w如果 BTC 未能令人信服地突破 105,000 美元，那么在任何持续突破尝试之前，短期回调至 100,000 美元或更低的支撑区域仍然有效。/ h$ P# D( ^  [# J. `& m3 i

9 n/ G( N( P' K  H+ }) @1 S

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2#
这个会反弹也是很正常的了。

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3#
价格的问题不太好说的啊.

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4#
这个希望还是相当的大的啊。

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5#
主题回复处广告图案-天策传媒
现在难道不是新高吗？怎么会这样的问呢

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6#
有可能的啊，还是会有反弹了

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7#
这个会反弹也是不好说的呀。

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8#
再次闪烁的也是有可能会反弹了

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