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财联社5月29日讯（编辑 牛占林）近期以来，微软、奈飞、Meta、推特、Paypal等美国多家知名企业陆陆续续发布了裁员和冻结招聘的消息，所谓春江水暖鸭先知，美国火热的就业市场出现了什么问题？ : \ ` s0 _: }2 H& g b1 Z8 Q7 X7 T
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投资银行Piper Sandler整理了近期美国企业裁员的公告。该行首席经济学家Nancy Lazar评论最近的裁员潮时表示：“新冠疫情后就业市场的调整，意味着更多的裁员即将到来，许多公司在疫情期间过度雇佣和提供了过高薪酬。”
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( G* ?0 O* [- x) oLazar指出，疫情催生的就业市场泡沫正在破灭，这意味着裁员周期即将来临，就业和工资的增长会减弱。 + C c9 j' f5 n+ p8 b. }
( C0 Q( c, u' Q3 O近期，美国企业员工工资增长显示出了见顶的迹象。根据人力资源公司、企业主和最近的调查数据，表明在过去一年大幅加薪之后，企业现在对薪酬预算方面变的更加谨慎，担心进一步的加薪会侵蚀企业利润。
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: |. \: F& G2 |6 K! G' F4 Q- W3 SPiper Sandler预期，我们可能会看到上百万或更多的裁员，因为许多受益于疫情的商品部门现在意识到他们增加了太多的产能。在疫情期间，低收入工人的工资涨幅最高，但现在他们面临的裁员风险也最大。
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; @; P ?. z' ^" ]美国商务部周五公布的数据显示，4月份消费者支出增长0.9%，收入增长0.4%。但经通胀因素调整后，当月可支配收入持平，表明薪资增长难以跟上物价上涨的步伐。此外，4月份，美国储蓄率降至4.4%，为14年来的最低水平，表明许多美国人正在动用储蓄来抵消成本上升的影响。
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. x, C; U% x- I& P! U$ M5 Q根据这些数据以及摩根士丹利的计算，美国穷人现在拥有的储蓄比金融危机前更少。其中最贫穷的20%的人口现在比拜登推出大规模刺激经济之前更穷，而且随着时间的推移，更多的人将被拖下“深渊”。
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( e K! c, H3 s( u# |万宝盛华集团首席执行官Jonas Prising表示：“工资已经上涨到了企业雇主无法接受的水平。企业会考虑到消费者和顾客不会接受企业进一步转嫁这些成本，所以我们需要开始降低成本，然后可能开始裁减人员。” J5 c: q: m) g% \7 m2 U
* g2 x- |, s6 C- W/ @6 h4 F根据美国劳动力智能分析公司Revelio Labs的数据显示，美国总招聘职位已经从高位回落，而且创下有记录来最大变化。
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来源：金色财经 |
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