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大家下午好,今天周一,我是币圈本色。
上个周末市场比较平淡,加密市场行情基本走出了小级别冲高回落的走势,短期看,行情继续在震荡趋势当中运行,中期看,仍为摆脱下跌趋势的熊市行情。
图1:btc/usdt 4h
btc:4小时级别看,如上图所示,上周六大饼小幅冲高至22000刀附近,随后承压回落,ma30走势始终延续水平走势,表明震荡趋势不改,震荡中枢价刚好在20000刀位置。从周六冲高至22000点后的量能情况看,出现了巨量的出货迹象,也就是说明这个位置有压力,市场资金有出货,整体市场看多情绪不足。
经过2-3个交易日的回调,不排除行情有进一步下行修复的预期,只要币价整体上在18000的箱体下轨上方运行,短线的市场风险就是可控的,操作策略上,仍可坚持波段操作,做高抛低吸赚取波段差价收益。
今天分享一个针对目前市场挖掘短线币种交易机会的方法,大家可以看4小时级别的年线ma250和币价目前的关系,大多数币种的币价是在年线ma250下方运行的,表明短线反弹承压,可以继续观望;重点关注那些币价已经有效突破该级别年线ma250压力位的币种,它们继续反弹冲高的概率就会比较大,下面重点分享几个有交易机会的币种。
图2:uni/usdt 4h
uni:4小时级别看,如上图所示,uni目前看已经站稳了5刀,这个位置是有筑底预期的,币价不再创新低,反而突破6刀高于前高点,从趋势来看行情已经出现明显的止跌,后市延续反弹的概率在加大。具体操作策略上,可以上移止损位至5.5刀,超短线压力位在6.5刀。不过反观日线级别,可以看到中期的下跌趋势仍为改变,所以短线上仅可轻仓参与,待日线走势上有效突破半年线ma120的下跌趋势位,可反手加仓做多。
图3:comp/usdt 4h
comp:与上面讲的uni一样,同属于defi概念板块,可见大家可以重点关注这个板块的交易机会,4小时级别看,如上图所示,上周六币价有效向上突破了该级别的震荡区间中枢50价位,目前来到了前高压力位55附近,下方ma60和ma120已经构筑成行情进一步反弹上涨的强支撑,50上方目前是适合考虑建仓参与的。
最后一个分享okb的交易机会,今天消息面有个利好,加密交易平台OKX宣布与英超曼城足球俱乐部达成协议,将扩大现有合作关系,OKX将成为俱乐部2022-23赛季的官方训练装备合作伙伴。根据该协议,部分曼城球员还将在OKX制作的加密教育内容中担任主角。消息人士透露,新赞助合同将使曼城俱乐部在本赛季净赚2000多万美元。
图4:okb/usdt 4h
技术面来看,4小时级别上,如上图所示,币价同样已经有效突破并站上了年线ma250的11.6中枢位,短线压力位在13.5前高位置;日线级别看,筑底迹象已经非常明显,10刀为市场反复夯实的底部位置,均线已经形成明显的多头排列看涨形态,关注上方反弹空间14-15位置。 来源:金色财经 |
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