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美联储加息 75 至 100 个基点
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在连续两个月的通货膨胀之后,美联储已经决定本月加息。
美国联邦储备委员会 (Fed) 的公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 预计将在今天创造历史,提出加息,因为政策制定者正努力扭转飙升的通胀冲击这个世界上最强大的国家。
随着联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)结束为期两天的政策会议,潜在的加息有很多影响。许多分析师认为加息将跟踪前 75 个基数自美联储今年开始加息以来,美国经济运行的总利率可能总计约为 2.25%。
值得注意的是,如果借贷成本超过 2.4%,积极的经济增长可能会受到影响,而美国陷入这种情况的可能性非常高。6 月份的通胀数据为 9.1%,高于 5 月份的 8.6%。持续的通胀增长使美国决策者更加坚定地推动读数回到 2% 的年度目标。
不管其政策对经济的影响如何,美联储可以用来对抗这种通胀的最可行的工具就是加息。美联储官员现在愿意走多远取决于政策会议的审议情况。然而,基于这种通胀增长率,至少四分之一的分析师认为非常高的概率美联储将加息100个基点。
随着各种猜测的增加,对利率更新的预期每分钟都在增加。
美联储潜在的中期利率处置
而在连续两个月的通货膨胀之后,美联储几乎已经决定本月加息。投资者和分析师现在期待的是定于 9 月 20 日至 21 日举行的政策会议。
当前加息的影响以及经济对此的反应将决定美联储在下次会议上将如何调整。决定美联储官员是否会改变政策并降低利率的关键迹象包括创造就业机会、消费者支出、企业产出和经济的其他核心方面。
尽管最坏的情况可能即将到来,但人们认为美国经济“可能在今年上半年收缩,但就业增长依然强劲。通胀导致消费者信心创历史新低,但消费者仍在消费,”EY-Parthenon 首席经济学家 Greg Daco 说,企业也是如此写了本周,他补充说,美国现在是“一个悖论的世界”。
来源:金色财经 |
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