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加密货币市场预计今晚将出现剧烈波动。然而，鲍威尔的声明使价格几乎保持稳定。那么，在利率决定和鲍威尔声明之后的未来几天，加密货币投资者应该关注什么？我们来讨论一下对现状和期望的综合评价。# Y5 f& |4 e) ~
/ N) D$ l6 \0 c# |$ d; \9 \我们将鲍威尔的声明作为突发新闻进行了详细分享。这些说法符合预期。我们没有看到过度鹰派的立场，这表明传入的数据并不像预期的那么糟糕。尽管最新数据中失业率并未如预期增加，但工资增幅却令人担忧。鲍威尔认为，为了对抗通货膨胀，工资增长需要进一步下降。至少，他们希望在当前的紧缩时期做到这一点。: W7 M9 u5 m, D5 x; ^
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因此，下个月公布的工资增长数据对我们来说至关重要。它还将造成加密货币价格的大幅波动。鲍威尔重申通胀下降速度已放缓，口头表达了市场对此问题的总体情绪。他没有说的是，由于基数效应而下降的通胀率不会持续下降。
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5 K" ?8 J% P( |, j/ _8 D- K8 k加密货币会发生什么？
" V- \4 v( t& T% W0 ^真正的问题是，美联储现在承认政策是紧缩的。我们收到的信号是，如果通胀下降速度加快，在几次会议之前不会宣布利率上限。更糟糕的是，如果通胀不继续下降或停止，美联储可能会在会议上做出连续加息的决定。鲍威尔意识到他已经超越了市场的口头指导阶段并明确表达了这一点。
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我们正在进入一个宏观经济数据对于加密货币投资者来说更加重要的时期。虽然我们通过 PMI 数据关注美联储表示不再预期的经济衰退，但核心通胀数据将告诉我们粘性通胀是否正在得到解决。- }& g, }( [4 \0 C
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对于加密货币来说，我们将持续感受到紧缩货币政策的压力，直到2023年底。预期的7月反弹并没有发生，但如果8月PMI、失业率、通胀和TDI等数据非常好，我们可以看到市场对利率上限提前公布的预期升温。
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