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[虚拟币交流]
灰度GBTC年今年涨幅破226%！超越英伟达（26日转）
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灰度将旗下GBTC基金转换为比特币现货ETF的申请露出曙光，灰度在8月底迎来法律战胜
8 w- s" V/ h2 \0 w5 z利，法院要求SEC应重新审查先前拒绝灰度申请的决定，随后SEC未做出任何上诉举措，法院在本周稍早正式对此
5 g/ b$ t% {3 p* p1 s! \案做出裁决，要求SEC重审该申请。1 e; ^( t* E$ M0 I. r1 H+ Z
随着灰度胜诉，据Coinglass数据显示，目前GBTC的负溢价率已从去年12月最深的-48.89%，大幅缩减至当前
. J# ^+ q% T) {0 s: D的-13.12%，而在比特币近期大幅上涨之际，GBTC价格也显著上扬，最近5日涨幅超过20%。0 |9 C2 i. ?$ K) A" I, P4 l
据TradingView数据显示，今年迄今为止，GBTC价格已飙升226.71%至26.79美元，相较之下，标普500指数上涨% L) N# @: n) |5 ]; l+ |
9%，标普500指数中表现最佳股票英伟达上涨191.96%，比特币上涨106.87%，均不如GBTC涨幅。
% _. x9 w# i3 c4 ]4 W0 ~" t) u( K值得注意的是，「女股神」伍德(Cathie Wood)的方舟投资(ARK Invest)在今年一月卖光英伟达股票，错失了今年
8 | h" [" O4 o: M9 _2 d以来的涨幅，但方舟投资在去年11月至12月间大举增持GBTC股票，获得了巨额回报。( t; ]! a; l7 e
在去年11月GBTC价格跌至7.46-9.48美元区间低点之际，ARKW大买了450,272股GBTC，随着GBTC价格回升，
2 P: s7 E. X, W9 T' U在此期间，ARKW开始逐步获利了结，其GBTC持仓从去年12月高峰的659.7万股，减持至目前的488.9万股。; o6 U0 c" V4 x* v g4 W- E
GBTC转换申请获批将助涨比特币？
0 H2 W+ E7 M$ _) `Coindesk报导，交易员在购买GBTC股票的同时，会通过同时在现货/期货市场卖出比特币，来对冲下行风险，一- F* a3 X8 ~# ?
旦转换灰度的申请得到批准，做市商会将GBTC价格恢复至净资产价值(NAV)。( v2 [" f2 E8 b
旨在从GBTC负溢价缩窄中获利的双腿策略(bi-leggedstrategy)，可能已限制今年稍早比特币的涨幅，随着SEC批- j3 n/ Z- V( N) z7 D4 l: d- T. M
准的可能性增加，负溢价幅度迅速缩小，交易员可能会放弃此策略，包括利用期货做空比特币的部分，从而使比
& I- v& A: [1 |0 A特币更加看涨。# C7 R1 I) U$ z5 @
Two Prime Digital Assets管理合伙人Alexander S.Blume表示：由于GBTC ETF转换的批准看似越来越可能，投
& G& V* Y, x. h5 `7 Q$ c4 s+ Y; L资者知道，做市商会在交易开放时，就将价格恢复至NAV，随着此投资工具恢复至NAV，做空比特币的压力似乎; K! ]1 B' |! U5 G/ E
会减小，并支撑比特币现货价格的上行压力。$ E& u/ f5 `) ?# R
; O6 `1 V! L x x2 ?6 G$ m+ r
3 G5 @8 o+ `: }3 ~
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炒作对了方向，哪怕是跌也是有钱可赚的，这才是重要的 |
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