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[虚拟币交流]
SOL两周涨48%、稳守32美元！VanEck：乐观预测7年内破3千（30日转）
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以太坊竞争对手、高速公链Solana的原生代币SOL近期势如破竹，过去两周涨幅达+ c' b' Q, b) d0 ^5 R, H, O) e
48.6%，而正当币价稳守32美元上方之际，资产管理公司VanEck预测指出，在最乐观的情况下，SOL将有望在78 U8 @% w0 }9 I" A/ ]
年内飙涨到3,211美元。
5 C" o2 |3 c+ X6 x2 z& H8 EVanEck在上周发表的报告中尝试将「VanEck标准化估值框架」套用在Solona身上，最终得以估算出SOL在多种# f. `8 O' _. i$ R
情景下的目标价位。根据这份报告，到2030年，SOL基本上可以达到335美元；但若面临熊市则可能会跌至9.81# R* l0 Q e, e5 N1 m
美元。, T b, [' Y Q, }5 } \
虽然潜力可期，但VanEck认为，即使现在距离2030年还有7年时间，但Solana到时候托管全球大部分加密货币交5 ]5 b5 N2 \% }
易的可能性仍低于以太坊。不过，VanEck的牛市分析框架显示，若Solana能避开以太坊叙事并实现「类似以太
9 J* \3 R% A2 l5 T( m坊」的主导地位，则Solana网络在2030年的收入可望达到518亿美元，SOL目标价上看3,211美元。# d# X& D e1 g" h/ _( r7 R, P s
行情数据显示，SOL币价年初迄今上涨超过230%，市值超过137亿美元，是目前市值排名第8大的加密货币。截
8 q- a. E( i$ L t至发稿时，SOL的交易价格为32.57美元，这意味着SOL仍需上涨超过9,700%左右，才能达到3,211美元的「神迹7 B& g% @. o* @; ]5 i) z
价」。0 r0 ~" ~; e# o8 s6 @
值得注意的是，VanEck还在报告中模拟了「Solana是第一个托管超过1亿用户的应用程式的区块链」的场景，并
/ R$ v$ I; \3 v0 H4 @) J; x- g8 ~ l且从网路收入、用户量、dApp开发、网络效能等角度对Solana网络进行了全面的分析。! [5 d. k* u9 R3 i
VanEck表示，目前Solana的数据吞吐量远胜于其他区块链，而且下一次的软体升级——「Firedancer升级」甚至4 W7 ^6 l4 V9 Q S
承诺可将Solana网络的容量再提升10倍。换言之，升级后的Solana网络吞吐量会是以太坊2.0的近千倍，Aptos、" d0 V1 C/ z* B
Sui等Move语言新公链的12.5倍。
, P- F* r0 E& s9 S. S; z! C自从FTX于去年11月垮台后，虽然Solana受到的打击尤深，遭遇严重的流动性紧缩，一度导致币价萎靡不振，所
- O4 s4 \( X4 _% Y幸开发人员仍持续建设，才得以支撑Solana链上活跃度不断增长。
& s- R. @2 u9 ASolana近期动作频频，先是推出智慧型手机，再来是SolanaPay取得Shopify合作关系，上个月又成为VISA试验* R( D. K* ^# q. w. ^& R: b: v$ x8 Q
项目的合作伙伴，使用SOL测试跨境支付结算，看得出该公司持续推展Solana应用的野心。
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