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. O' m: e2 h% P- \! K比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。
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" S9 Q1 C. V" m4 z h8 Z监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
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4 E! j4 H. A7 s5 W3 _0 H专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 : G$ u8 r% N% @' e6 ^2 h
) X. ^2 Y5 j# h6 j) u$ q% E/ `有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技
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股等风险较高的投资。 6 I4 @; C9 s) a7 y% I
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芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储$ t) V2 q0 r6 c3 Y5 Z
, g2 E" ^5 g, m8 k- D/ S明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 , ` p8 X6 ? d" Z( C0 _% M
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现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
: P3 J- c" F- a. |5 e3 Z! S9 o. R! B0 C# g- v( F
因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。 / X% M" `; H2 K- y. ?2 O* M
+ F2 |5 h1 D9 t) D2 a从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
8 t7 n* W1 [$ Z- w6 `- L d0 {* @1 _$ V* Z z
更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此0 c: t8 p {) m- j0 i: o
& ?# } E- t* h9 k仍有许多交易商可能买入。 $ P* q" P0 N! \+ g
% C8 z' |6 O3 H, q9 h/ U库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的5 K$ k6 ]% J; N9 X+ a
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推动力之一。
! i. m" }- g4 \8 q& W r+ G* Z5 d$ N
02: g9 l3 H, D W8 F
' n% i6 [1 y F) C有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
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! \" L, \/ H7 {9 N+ }需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。 5 v0 ~$ f% f! T* a/ }# {
# u7 E+ t0 J6 Q0 T6 D" H加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣
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8 p7 E1 q) d- Q% D( | q的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。” " a7 @' j$ h! o
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至1 n# @; W2 }) S) x' Z
6 ^3 Y" n- W5 K i' u今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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