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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：1 G$ H2 q) B9 w* m
至少有以下几个原因：5 n6 @- J( B. P- g
3 a" r) s1 h( V! ]7 d1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。
7 [3 K6 N6 u, Q9 P/ B+ d. B3 J7 B. U# e# \: w/ Z
在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
8 A' L$ [0 s0 @9 k2 E8 t2 ~% @" {. o9 E# Z X
机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
1 l/ t [# w# h" U5 {3 d& }" [6 ^4 {
出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到; ^* |; ^7 L; K }! G4 s
( }+ @4 o# I2 L* v' _. b325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数1 P A$ a2 c% p) b, _$ M* V, }
1 e/ a# Q4 X0 `/ h
据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有
% s; R# M$ B! [2 L- Y; p1 e4 C/ I+ W( S5 i2 B
达到200亿美金）
- o2 L( R3 |8 o2 u, \' n1 s+ i e f( f4 r/ o4 W% Q; s
2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊9 e. | e) y% x% Y
+ y0 ^$ [. N2 e6 e4 T! ^
更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化4 m( ?( k4 z5 l* i" Z, R( k
; \6 k0 r' m) M/ @6 w$ D的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
; m0 c- ?$ S9 x/ q) E3 w2 h1 p9 d* w. u
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大
- u: t$ Z$ W/ G8 X( g% N
% G4 e/ P" n; c资金的信任和青睐。% W$ [, p3 J. P3 @$ i# U
' a+ e& x2 Q; `: `* X4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美! x4 X6 _) f6 @1 }
3 T! C% c( x& C6 Z
金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入4 w2 N1 I2 O: G q/ e q* _
{% F* W/ ]/ f! y8 |" @比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
) C/ j/ I: y( A" q0 `" \. c! i E2 }) m# M# m) G
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