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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
[复制链接]
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
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- E6 s$ d5 h4 x/ A% U! `8 K过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。" v1 _. d" d9 G" b- D% U
链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当
' v+ r8 |' o3 A
4 @% \9 M$ s3 ?6 |天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场8 R$ F8 a6 z$ K+ o1 s' B
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处于健康的看涨状态。
+ }+ @) T& ~2 l. ^ T/ R Q h# k, y0 s- h: L- A) u1 Y' d" i
AMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬
, J+ @6 `+ y) L" `, y$ ^1 }: D
$ a X5 {5 A2 G1 u短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF1 E' }& T% o' a/ b& f
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获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。
9 t [& ^% x2 g4 K' o& y( E( B7 c/ [: L& Y1 X! G$ d) b" j7 W" y
AMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，
6 r6 a8 `" H8 p& x3 y+ \
9 h3 T" c/ R8 ~# \& Z# h+ TCoinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提
* N9 z, Z/ C( `, O' X! \& {% R
! a! Q! m: L" M) b' h8 c/ H, |( z及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。
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其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较% k4 Z; |, ~. `/ {: g) d
! m) d1 c s. d$ x
低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强
2 b: A2 V: }$ K) M
6 { a; H' W |+ Z劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。& I/ P& U* m& |! C1 z4 V9 E3 u
2 f, o+ K. h; r# {- Z W x
然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF# z' E4 K; M1 Q! z. ]) h# @
+ ^- Z$ z' x( b$ S6 Y申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。
1 o1 N5 ?4 `3 v0 @5 \0 }+ r- ]/ S1 ?" C; A- M; q+ `2 c
虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币
! f v3 i; C6 N4 Q% v# A5 V$ X, l1 g3 c
NUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不 @9 U4 A$ T6 S5 A3 H h6 `
/ @2 r. Q# p: w5 D9 I) B6 K% [4 Z u
绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法* x7 P' S) Y& \- w3 O4 d9 g
: j$ K9 P. b" k% l6 s. L
继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。! w2 A* w0 L& \, B* S# V6 Y g2 M
* U9 O6 i; K7 Q7 V$ b8 T. L2 J
. }% P; ?5 N( o2 Z# c因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的5 d% ~; L$ S+ q' v7 e
W- E5 e. l4 T* U+ d关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。, x: z, a3 F5 G f
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