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[打法交流]
玩双色球防骗技巧----“一码中蓝”,搁你头上你晕不晕?(转)
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玩双色球防骗技巧----“一码中蓝”,搁你头上你晕不晕?嘀嘀嘀”,短信来了。
' K+ [4 t/ z/ D3 Q: K& m5 @打开一看:“彩票公司回报彩民,向您透露本期双色球蓝号:15。请勿外传,机会只此一次,请善加把握。”
8 m: B9 ] H7 `3 \/ K4 f你嗤之以鼻:“切,哪来的骗子!”
' ]2 C/ L1 V Q; D( L1 R; l; g5 e一开奖,你傻眼了:蓝球15。6 I3 \2 e) j7 t" l4 @, R
大腿拍烂了也来不及了!我怎么就没相信人家呢!彩票公司直接告诉我号码了我咋就没信呢!早知道我买它十万注蓝球15哇!
$ j: d7 K7 f0 N% ^2 @7 G还说人家是骗子,人家开奖之前告诉我号码,就一个15,一开就中了,人家哪里骗我了!& c$ |9 b" }4 F
于是,你疯了一般后悔、痛恨自己错失良机。5 j0 W% ]) y( S1 V9 U
再过几分钟,你的想法发生了变化,刚才的悔恨已经变成了希望----要是它再给我发一次该多好!! \3 M Z" Y8 e# K
这时电话打过来了:“恭喜您中奖,蓝球15您打了多少倍?”
# \* l) K- w( Q k. w你捶胸顿足,求对方再告诉你下期的蓝号。
9 v: B; u- m& n2 D2 X( \+ h对方犹豫不决,你主动提出给人家好处。
, ~4 ?6 i( `% W于是,用一万块钱买了下期的蓝号。
+ C. p$ z6 ?( p) F1 J7 F* P他告诉你10号。6 {- s$ H6 p, ~/ @
接下来呢………………
7 x; Y, k/ j# p: c* ~! g5 L: R3 `( C% p………………………………
4 M) r: B6 ~7 b/ h& n……………………………………7 Y1 D" N" C2 L# l: @
你倾家荡产买的蓝球10,全折了。
) ?1 A' Z2 N3 H( Y/ `明明它就是骗子嘛!+ d# q2 z7 N7 H$ |! @+ q1 v
可是,他那个蓝球15是怎么准的呢?& Y( g1 x% N) ]* ^4 B4 \ x$ _
这就是幸存者偏差。你看它只看到一个点,而他面对的却是16万个随机目标。
n. o1 ~: @5 I( y( \. q他给这16万个电话号码发短信,第一万个人它告诉蓝球1;第二万个人它告诉蓝球2;第三万个人它告诉蓝球3……你是第十五万个人中的一员,他告诉你15。
6 w5 D2 U1 ?" A2 @. f6 H. ~& q% y1 K一开奖,必定有一万个人会发现自己收到的“唯一的蓝号”中奖了。
3 ?4 U9 i1 D1 r这一万个人中可能有二百个恰好是彩民。. n& }& p! P7 ?5 P: X
这二百个彩民当中肯定可以涌现出一两个像你一样“头脑灵活”的人。5 N2 ]( v+ @# x. _3 [2 u
于是,你幸运地成为“一码中蓝”的上钩者。
! U2 C. F8 b' N- N% S! k o4 R$ y& B, x4 k, S& |
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