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[lastpost] => 2647482 【星宝】5月4日投注流水247883元(单日流水) 1714891956 rainwang
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以下是输给那破游戏不甘心后的乱想..如有错误请提出或无视.. 首先是豹子问题
% {% t, _# W: _. C9 j, _- J
8 m% x) y2 \; i, i8 M因为太郁闷..所以从排列组合开始..6 P; m* \! x/ g
$ o# c/ O2 J& q, t' e假设直线A上有N个点,取任意点都有相同程度的概率.那么有2个取点者同时随即取点E,2者同时取得点E的概率是E/N*N
4 V- ^# |& }4 p) ~1 u8 m( z8 a, q: w3 U0 {: o
那么豹子的出现概率是2/216=0.00926=0.926%) @% y% f" R5 ]# K @ Q8 a: C
$ }' d+ _# @& F n豹子的赔率是30那么收益期望为0.2778风险为99.074%
8 P, D5 b+ _8 E) @6 ?
, u* D: l. p* O) I连续2次出现率为42.67%的负4次方(大概是大型超市抽奖活动的特等奖的概率..有信心的可以玩下)5 c" t, N" A' C* Z2 @0 E* @
; ^! u& J ]* P在是压大小问题.* k* R' U# f# m8 I
. M- t! o2 e, V* e8 f, a& G' I根据以上得出每组大小的概率是49%..
" Z% c. k, `$ n9 y
+ T1 t7 ^, g2 f5 ]* }9 q: q. c由此可见..压大小就总合来说是必败的" H7 D- b! v" Z7 X
( y% c6 E- ^; o, A
心理学中有个叫赌徒效应还是啥啥的..是说随即序列发生一个事件的概率与之前发生的事件无关。即发生的概率并没有因先前发生的事件而增加。) T/ O( r- q* T
3 F8 ~% p. x2 S0 ~8 z/ q
也就是说,压大小实际上永远就是49%概率压对。! X, Q, d" D y! `
% N* x5 V, ^, R- `+ N
并非这次压错了.下次就是50%了
- ~' J& R, F) p- N' Q3 t
5 U: K: @& p. U由此可见压大小以综合来说必输.压豹子其收益价与风险值不成比列。; q6 b: L$ n0 i; C" i
, z9 E5 {3 ]) v根据以上分析.还是奉劝大家!远离DB!1 I. I) u5 Q+ L/ r; }% t
3 l2 D. B0 N5 P/ C还有..以上是有实际验证的~昨天赌了上百回资金流动大概有成千上万..损失了进两百8 N4 D0 L! b; J5 d
7 @* Q( p( x2 |0 C5 z今天中午又赌了N次..资金流动上千..损失了30左右..均与以上概率成比例~ 嘛- -偶赌的还算比较厉害了..输的惨就不去说了~~那位上千的全没了& n J* z7 H* ~3 i; B( o
! |, [% s& i2 H. d6 X2 X2 Y8 v偶决定在也不赌了~真的...( |- y; A7 _- T* n7 B/ M8 v
1 O5 U% w/ B' v% P$ f. O1 H
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投注最终还是要看收米的,经过什么的不是重点,也是期许楼主好运了 |
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当前离线
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必输的东西也是要来学学了啊,如此的东西还是值得学习的 |
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必输什么的是不讲道理的,就好比必赢的菠菜那样,干脆看开点 |
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这次的投注成果我也是不知道该说些什么好了,企望继续奋斗吧 |
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