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[虚拟币交流]
比特币12万美元？贸易公司将特朗普的储备计划与大胆预测联系起来（转）
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许多分析师对最近的价格飙升并不感到惊讶比特币鉴于唐纳德·特朗普在最近结束的美国全国大选中取得了令人信服的胜利，这一数字降至8万美元。: n6 B! k5 \ @. ?% t' g8 Q
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一些市场分析师和观察人士提出了更大胆的预测，这得益于比特币战略储备的传言和比特币可能获得批准比特币法。! q. o" H# X* H8 s. K; F& {
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交易公司QCP是对加密货币持乐观态度的分析师之一，预测顶级数字资产将很快突破12万美元。
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QCP引用了即将上任的总统唐纳德·特朗普的ZF，计划创建一个战略BTC储备，并更新了美国通胀数据，作为该资产价格的关键驱动因素。, Z/ M8 B& d* Z' T# c% `# k
# O6 O, L( ?/ B2 r8 `& U有利的市场条件提振比特币价格
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3 m S+ ?# m7 {' T( p5 ~3 e0 d比特币的价格本周继续飙升，达到93120美元的历史新高，将全球加密货币市值提高到3万亿美元以上。
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5 K* f8 ^9 }; g: I2 N/ D7 `此次反弹正值美国ZF公布通胀数据之际，总体通胀率和核心通胀率分别为2.60%和3.30%，符合预期。' s7 H6 I$ Y! ]4 g
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此外，分析师对12月联邦公开市场委员会会议可能降息25个基点充满信心。许多人表示，货币政策的转变提振了包括比特币在内的基于风险的资产的乐观情绪。( d2 n- L; R4 s0 h' r" F
4 Z' _% b4 c4 \- O$ q, lBTCUSD目前的交易价格为91445美元。( s* K; a0 r2 b6 V9 p" j
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QCP表示，BTC可能达到10万至12万美元$ e1 }: d1 T1 A" {+ H
% s8 w5 ?- _; ?. y1 B8 [! g在推特/X帖子中，QCP Trading预测比特币可能达到10万至12万美元。该帖子补充说，BTC价格行动受益于创建BTC战略储备的提议以及ZF从黄金向数字资产的潜在转变。0 I, H" i; r! U q5 [& y
# c4 z; b6 G: s$ _> QCP：鉴于比特币自美国大选以来令人印象深刻的反弹，我们认为10万至12万美元可能不会太远。特朗普推出战略比特币储备和从黄金到比特币的轮换的想法提供了一个强有力的叙事，使比特币价格得到支撑。
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5 g6 ^4 Q7 f/ }/ z" T然而，QCP提醒业界注意山寨币的过度杠杆。它补充说，永久融资率在50%到100%之间增长，主要是由于大量的杠杆购买。+ V6 g4 y0 A# I5 Q$ b" Y' h
这种情况增加了去杠杆化事件的风险，给价格带来了下行压力。
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4 h. ^6 D V+ @- \8 l其他分析师看到BTC价格持续飙升
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+ @9 W8 ^* G* a6 k除了QCP，其他几位分析师和金融机构也在研究比特币的看涨趋势。马修·西格尔VanEck对数字资产价格的走向也持乐观态度。
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6 K. |) `; G. K7 L自选举以来，比特币的价格上涨了30%，根据VanEck的专有指标，这一趋势可能会持续下去。- O, K- v- g) _1 Z
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Sigel还指出，由于特朗普和其他加密货币友好人士的连任，市场对比特币的有利情绪。根据VanEck的预测，阿尔法币到明年可能会突破18万美元。
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Rekt Capital呼应了VanEck的前景，暗示该资产已进入“抛物线上升”阶段。市场分析师进一步表示，这一阶段可能持续385天，为交易员和投资者创造了大量获利机会。
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