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[虚拟币交流] 比特币可能在未来两天内开始反弹至15万美元:分析(转)
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分析师Ali Martinez认为,比特币可能会在未来两天内开始反弹至15万美元,然后出现大幅回调。
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比特币与前几周的剧烈波动不同,过去几天一直处于持有模式,没有出现重大价格变动。3 Y* z7 E: l  u/ B, N1 f* i
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自11月13日比特币达到93500美元的峰值以来,它一直在努力走高。虽然它经历了温和的调整,跌至86682美元,但此后反弹至92600美元。
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( m+ f1 W  z" W  u- h$ X在过去的六天里,比特币在8.9万美元至9.1万美元之间波动,价格没有重大变化。在这个被动市场中,参与者既谨慎又兴奋,预计会出现大幅下跌或大幅上涨。
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! \9 k: {" E( S, ^8 p- h: N与此同时,像Ali Martinez这样的分析师正在研究历史趋势,以预测比特币的下一个可能走势。6 p" S5 O* C) p* v" o

# F2 }1 I* F3 {) C2 M4 |历史表明,比特币在大幅调整前可能达到13.8万美元
4 N% w& ?5 w0 U. H* E在A更新今天早些时候,Martinez指出,在2016/2017牛市期间,比特币价格飙升了156%,超过了首次大幅调整前的历史最高点,首次大幅调整使其价值蒸发了39% ;, a0 R; x' S3 L) x* u. o

* _! C$ w: E) B3 z1 ^4 @3 `5 i同样,他指出,在2020/2021年的周期中,比特币的价值增长了121%,然后经历了32%的回调,抹去了其中的一些涨幅。基于这些观察,他认为比特币在面临首次大幅回调之前可能会达到至少13.8万美元 ;* g+ b: ?5 D9 h: k

% Q. r4 h% N. X7 Y比特币牛市可能在两天内爆发,目标价为15万美元
* k$ u! ]# h# D% P  h0 t! N4 {与此同时,在后续帖子中,马丁内斯强调比特币正在密切镜像前两个牛市周期的模式。5 u% K1 n* i4 g; u( ]

: ?) j, F( n' d7 I( K6 L% u  x他之前曾指出,在比特币上个季度夺回19700美元的峰值后,它飙升了26%,然后巩固了一周。整合之后,价格大幅上涨至40000美元。/ R0 k: P( P( [$ ?

7 X4 c' W( F# T- a& a+ n+ Z值得注意的是,在目前的情况下,比特币已经比3月份的峰值73750美元飙升了26.7%,并且自达到93500美元的新峰值以来,在过去的六天里一直在巩固。6 a  }( f  i# |9 h  K- L

! C! @3 G# Y$ ?! Y3 H因此,马丁内斯相信如果历史可以作为参考的话,市场可能会在未来一两天内再次突破,目标价约为15万美元。
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3 N0 R& a* p* x1 m  H& j, l, q2 V牛市后调整期间的潜在价格目标
) |# U( p0 p0 q1 A8 S& \值得注意的是,15万美元的目标与比特币的历史趋势相一致,在经历约30%的大幅调整之前,比特币在超过以往的历史高点后通常会上涨100%或更多 ;/ C4 T% A$ p% B: r

5 |+ k* v; [' O6 @4 \# |! W如果这种情况发生,如果比特币首次声称15万美元目标如果峰值接近13.8万美元,则达到9.6万美元。
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  F# i& A4 d4 f1 M) L- K! v与此同时,Martinez强调了8.3万至8.5万美元和7.2万至7.5万美元的价格区间,作为市场从看涨转为看跌的潜在支撑区域。7 p# t* f1 R# o0 c8 F9 B6 W
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这个可以得到反弹的话也是不错
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