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[lastpost] => 2818494 渣打银行：稳定币流通速度两年翻倍，仍维持2028年市值达2万亿美元预测(转) 1775017470 sunnyclare001
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[虚拟币交流]
Bitwise高管：人们正低估比特币 BTC将大幅上涨(转）
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据两位 Bitwise 高管称，在特朗普ZF威胁要改革全球贸易，而经济指标表明各国央行可能向市场注入现金之际，比特币是一个“世代机遇”。9 P; K: P- L/ W4 P. c8 z* r! S
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Bitwise Asset Management 的阿尔法策略主管 Jeff Park 在 2 月 16 日的 X 帖子中表示：“世界确实处于最大混乱的边缘。”
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5 k' k4 \! A) Y! d: j3 zPark 指出，2 月 12 日众议院共和党预算计划将债务上限提高 4 万亿美元，旨在增加ZF支出，同时还有去全球化趋势加剧，尤其是唐纳德·特朗普9 d- ~& {/ G* a; O( a
) G* [# c8 ?. }5 E最近升级的互惠关税威胁。
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* k+ J/ l5 r9 ]Park 还指出，市场将出现他所谓的“最大延迟”，指出“黄金跑赢大盘的尾部风险”，共和党高达 4.5 万亿美元的“史无前例的减税”，以及他认为即将实施; b4 Z5 N% |* u
; Y- i8 q2 ?( [% t( Y8 P$ k. J _的收益率曲线控制 (YCC)——央行将长期利率作为刺激借贷和投资的目标。# X4 M" w* B/ u; G$ _2 Z' H+ [
$ V. k: d* m9 |7 {( @( j: c3 K+ v美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔对今年进一步降息的可能性泼了冷水——2 月 11 日，他告诉参议院银行委员会，美国经济“保持强劲”，美国“不需要急于调整”利率。. ]1 v8 Y9 M" ?. b( y. B7 G8 W
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* D2 J" Q6 f7 XBitwise 首席执行官 Hunter Horsley 在 2 月 16 日的 X 帖子中写道：“人们严重低估了比特币今年进入主流的巨大飞跃。从未如此乐观。”
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- s& B" z/ D4 w( V% ]“BTC IV 百分位数是全年最低的，你看不到这一代机会，所以我们不一样了，”Park 补充道，他指的是比特币的隐含波动率百分位数——过去一年中波动率
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低于当前水平的天数百分比。1 N2 u1 N! `0 I3 l
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根据 Deribit 的数据，比特币的波动率指数目前为 50.90，低于年度高点 71.28，IV 百分位数为 12.3。) }# b0 \9 {1 ?0 l) d) Z7 K
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据 CoinGecko 数据，比特币在过去 24 小时内下跌超过 1.5%，交易价格略高于 96,000 美元。
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( n" u3 k9 e3 Z3 A" W今年到目前为止，比特币的交易价格在 90,000 美元至 100,000 美元之间，但在上个月末特朗普就职典礼期间达到 108,786 美元的峰值。
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6 t# y/ {& [+ ?, q% }追踪加密货币恐惧与贪婪指数的市场情绪在 2 月 17 日为 51 分（总分为 100 分），表明市场处于“中性”状态。市场情绪较上周的“恐惧”水平有所改善，但低于
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上个月更为积极的市场情绪水平。0 k% X) J7 i# b. V5 q; H
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