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[lastpost] => 2805960 迈克·诺沃格拉茨：比特币和山寨币100倍加密货币回报的时代已经结束（转） 1770881317 当你老了
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币价格分析：下一个$ 87,000作为BTC持有人拒绝出售（转）
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比特币以8万美元的关键水平找到了支持，促使看涨篮板。但是，200天的移动平均线现在是一种显着的阻力，这表明在短期内可能在$ 8.7万美元之间的合并阶段。/ h" Q5 x8 j9 Y4 c8 `& s
/ I$ N# o- r X: |. J' y技术分析
) I' F, O0 t: T3 \" ~& S/ H经过睡眠
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4 e0 y, Q9 O! K4 b比特币在以75,000美元的关键$ 80K范围内找到强大的支持后，最近印刷了看涨的篮板。该地区历史上一直充当心理和技术层，RSI与价格之间的看涨差异证实了看跌势头的放缓，这表明了买家的兴趣。
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但是，目前的集会正接近关键的阻力水平，200天的移动平均值为8.7万美元。2 q1 T0 a/ u2 _9 K3 m0 h
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该MA充当动态阻力区，可以在短期内加油。结果，比特币可能会继续在$ 75K - $ 87K的范围内巩固，直到发生决定性突破为止。如果公牛队成功地推高200天的MA，那么下一个主要目标就在于心理上的$ 10万美元。在较低的时间范围内，比特币在下降通道的中线上发现了强有力的支持，引发了冲动[浪潮]，这是这些水平积累的潜在信号。现在，价格正在测试渠道的上限，接近$ 84K。
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在此趋势线上和以前的秋千高度上方的确认突破将使看跌结构无效，从而通向迈向$ 90K电阻区的道路。
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4 f) [( L( b/ `/ W) f; e, O相反，未能超出这一水平将加强当前的看跌市场结构，这可能导致中期下降压力。
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( Q( S, H2 I- X) r5 v* d, ~已实现的CAP UTXO年龄段（％）是一个强大的链度指标，它可以按照UTXOS的年龄（未解决的交易输出）破坏比特币，从而根据持有持续时间提供对投资者行为的见识。6 \6 z0 W& s# k4 h2 C
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根据最新数据，3-6个月零6-12个月的同伴所持有的硬币份额一直在稳步上升。这种上升密切反映了2024年夏天长时间校正期间看到的积累模式，反映了持有人的信念日益增加。0 g9 R8 A7 p; X
/ o: {' k' h: d这种行为表明了“ hodling”趋势，尽管市场进行了持续的纠正，但投资者仍将硬币保留下来，即使面对波动，也无法出售。随着越来越多的硬币移至长期持有人的手中，可用的循环供应收缩，增加了比特币的稀缺性。
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6 J" c% u& b2 B( N, m/ Y从历史上看，这种供应限制在满足新需求的情况下，已经成为了强劲的价格集会的催化剂。这些动态通常为价格发现和新的历史最高点奠定了基础。
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6 S+ o/ P1 }5 I因此，当前的链结构表明，持续的缩水不太可能是熊市的开始，而更有可能在更广泛的看涨周期内进行健康纠正。# s( ]- l& }. t) R7 Q& ]
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拉倒吧，这样的结论谁能做出来，只有持币的人自已才会 |
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