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[lastpost] => 2762991 数据：加密板块全线回调，DeFi 板块领跌超 5%，ETH 一度跌破 4300 美元（转） 1757072642 rainwang
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[虚拟币交流]
将比特币路的映射到$ 98K - 分析关键障碍，反弹的几率（转）
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BTC鲸鱼流入本周增长了26％，但长期流出仍然超过积累。
# O5 m. [4 _+ A/ p# j, n" N6 e5 s, ^比特币的价格发散和估值冲突可能会将干净的突破延迟至98,000美元以上。
1 x( C6 [" r: V' a( z( A比特币[BTC]正在显示潜在反弹的早期迹象，并由TD顺序购买支持信号在每小时图表上，并更新了技术势头。发稿时，BTC的交易价格为95,952.36美元，在过去24小时内下降了0.33％。
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, T% r, Z% [2 S" ^( h4 y5 [尽管价格的合并低于$ 96,000，但几个基于链和衍生品的指标表明，如果关键的结构信号一致，则BTC可能正在为决定性举动做准备。
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鲸鱼的积累显示出短期流入，但是…
" `6 }' n& M# B4 s1 x鲸鱼的新鲜积累提供了乐观的第一个火花。在过去一周中，大型持有人的Netflow上升了26.41％，这表明当前水平的短期定罪。
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- s9 `9 B) H8 o- \) z但是，更广泛的趋势仍然减少了30天和90天的Netfrows，分别下降了-108.09％和-110.13％。
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" q% |; }. f% d- M" p: i6 e* H因此，尽管恢复了最近的恢复，但长期分布仍在对持续的看涨势头构成挑战。
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( K* D9 @4 }+ {5 {8 \0 E& ]最重要的是玻璃节数据显示链上使用情况的显着增加，过去24小时内记录了925,914个活动地址。
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9 l# m) G! V. A( C; D这标志着六个月内网络活动的最高水平，并标志着强大的区块链参与。
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然而，热情可能很热。 Santiment Price DAA发散的价格为-225.82％，显示价格超过了有机地址的增长。
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估值指标揭示了BTC市场健康的信号冲突( a$ S: z9 V$ V/ R* Y/ A. B
几种估值模型提出了混合的前景。$ c3 D' p# Y. F
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PUELL多个坐在1.36处，表明矿工收入在健康范围内。
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同时，NVT和NVM比分别增加了50％和26％，这表明市值超过了交易和用户活动。 , Q: ]/ S8 N2 j- s/ e% D
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相反，股票与流量的比率下降了50％，表明对长期稀缺定价的信心降低。这些相互矛盾的指标表明，尽管基本面并不弱，但市场仍然处于估值灰色区域。6 |% Q) Q" ~. f8 B- e, T* P$ L
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此外，Binance清算热图显示，密集包装的流动性集群接近94,000美元和98,000美元。这些水平代表了高杠杆定位的区域，价格波动通常会加剧。 # h; N; a" E- X4 V, `1 P6 X2 T
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如果BTC超过$ 98,000，它可能会触发一系列级联的级别清算，以增强动力。但是，低于$ 94K的下跌可能会清算长期头寸并提高价格。6 F9 K3 D$ J2 `( [
3 R' n6 h+ R S8 C! G结果，交易者应密切关注这些水平，因为他们可能决定BTC的下一个定向行动。
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BTC可以再次超过$ 98K还是再次失速？
, C, o8 q4 {/ p; a3 J+ c比特币随着网络活动的上升和新鲜的鲸鱼流入而闪烁的恢复迹象。 ( S3 o2 h0 q% C- B7 ~+ J
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但是，长期的卖出压力，负价分支的差异和估值张力表明，突破超过$ 98K的途径仍然不确定。
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