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K33 Research的研究负责人Vetle Lunde于4月30日在一个惊人的加密X邮报中指出，加密货币7天的波动率刚刚达到了563天的低点。" E$ _6 a: _8 Q+ L- b9 _
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BTC 7天波动率点击563天低pic.twitter.com/9xvvQ3t6N7
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5 i; R: x9 z4 }2 r& ]-Vetle Lunde（@vetlelunde）2025年4月30日7 A0 ~( C2 r9 L+ W/ V8 j
$ {# u3 e0 N+ n5 [) l. J同时，对美元的30天比特币价格波动稳步下降。根据Bitbo和TheBlock的数据，自2011年以来，BTC的波动率一直在退化。
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6 G4 e, z# F; X" |& M) S, g低比特币的波动率：看涨还是看跌？3 E* n) f& F) D+ a
低波动性可能是加密货币和库存的看跌。这是因为在牛市上，价格往往会随着更多的数量而上升，并突然纠正。' B5 n2 p, J% G8 i2 S
' g' q1 x( F# \' Q; b" F3 z- i$ ~结果，一些交易者可能将低波动率解释为卖出或等待信号。但是，比特币图表技术在华尔街资金和加密交易所进行的激烈的BTC集会上取得了里程碑式的记录。
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{: m# v! l, B5 |$ U, A. Z3 O因此，可能很难将其作为看跌迹象。" z0 {3 e( b$ M+ Z5 C3 z3 _
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取而代之的是，低BTC波动率可能只是比特币现在拥有如此高的市值的结果，即五月开始的2万亿美元档次，流动性运行更加顺利。鲸鱼大小的参与者不再对曾经拥有的整体市场产生挥发性飞溅效应。5 i1 o# \, f4 X& i `4 A7 l
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保真度：许多股票比BTC更波动 T: d$ }3 H# d
总体而言，这是比特币的看涨里程碑。这意味着该网络的资本化已经增长了令人震惊的速度，以至于现在它不像海洋中的一条小船一样上下摆动。取而代之的是，它更像是一个大型，良好且庄重的工艺。7 g m% c4 ~& ]8 r/ C5 H: K( ?6 s
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去年的忠实数字资产研究研究指出关于BTC价格波动的一些有趣的事实，例如：“比特币是波动的，但比许多流行的大型股票股票更少。”# c# k/ @" a! v) D' P
: _2 {% T$ G* b% G- s) }9 H总部位于波士顿的大型投资公司还表示：“比特币目前的波动率不及33个标准普尔500股股票，而到2023年下半年，比特币的波动率高92个标准普尔500股。”4 A2 Z: c1 z5 b, H( H
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该报告确定了一个预测：“比特币的波动率下降了，预计将继续这样做。”同时，加密价格4月初低于75,000美元之后，人们一直在迅速增长，并敲打了100,000美元的门。
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