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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。4 [9 ~0 L8 D w
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该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国( {9 i4 `0 q& @3 J% I
9 U3 I1 w; h: c7 k7 V) l9 d市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。
$ K" L& D6 d& w/ f7 u
: t# ~6 o- A7 S$ d. A1 m; b 与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而. R$ L* `7 w, O% _3 V! ?5 B4 L
' Q! [8 @7 }# k3 ^/ f“短期看空”比特币。
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“在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已
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实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”
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/ d/ g W2 T; \9 m8 e8 Y- g 报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。
$ F% f; p. X% A, J1 A5 [: E8 Y% w7 v* H/ d) _ y" ]1 y. r# {
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% ~% c3 u2 X' c: o* D 根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%，
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而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。
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) J+ X9 K6 k1 v/ U BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的4 z. w9 M: s* u4 E
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利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”) v4 x. \# X1 O4 [$ a" L* C
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“尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策，
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将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”: ?+ W. p, U' C( z4 x" n
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