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[虚拟币交流]
以太坊正取代比特币主导币圈？ETF连续六日净流入超越比特币（转）
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" N' k9 p8 K4 T# g* _% O. M3 }4 m. A 自5月以来，美国现货以太坊ETF持续获得资金净流入。在过去六个交易日中，以太坊ETF净流入近24亿美元，远超同期比特币ETF的8.27亿美元。且以太坊ETF在这六个交易日中每天的净流入均超过比特币。) } R+ U0 X6 w' g7 A" [" B
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过去几周，以太坊表现远超比特币，两者的价格比率自此前创下的2019年以来低点强劲反弹。
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+ g# A8 R z8 z' j( L 以太坊CME期货相较现货的年化溢价已超过10%，超过比特币的水平，促使一些头寸从比特币转向以太坊。6 V: I: A6 f' R( W. h
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自5月以来，美国现货以太坊ETF持续获得资金净流入。在过去六个交易日中，以太坊ETF净流入近24亿美元，远超同期比特币ETF的8.27亿美元。且以太坊ETF在这六个交易日中每天的净流入均超过比特币。+ [* E+ P& b" S
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高盛加密团队指出，与越来越多企业将比特币纳入财务储备类似，近期一些美国上市公司也开始建立以太坊储备。据估计，这些公司在过去一个月共购入超15亿美元ETH。
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: I- |4 g* _" \* d3 F0 \, l! L' H 其中，BitMine Immersion Technologies在过去16天内购买价值20亿美元的ETH，现已成为企业中最大的以太坊持有者。
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4 X2 A& h8 M4 r$ \) u 当前以太坊前十大持有者（包括美国ZF）合计持有超160万枚ETH（价值约合60亿美元），部分机构的持仓已超过以太坊基金会。这一规模仍仅占以太坊约4000亿美元流通供应的一小部分，也低于过去一年流通的1750亿美元ETH。% v5 }0 h* g' _( u+ O5 }8 t. |0 C
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Galaxy Digital首席执行官Michael Novogratz 预测，ETH价格将升至4000美元，并将在未来六个月跑赢比特币。他指出，BitMine和SharpLink Gaming近期大量购入ETH，可能引发供应冲击。
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7 h+ \; A2 R" C u+ m 全球M2货币供应量（包括美国、欧元区、日本、英国和加拿大）上升，意味着市场流动性充裕，这有望推动更多资本流入高风险资产如加密货币。
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6 q8 d6 L+ A+ \* a" v 以太坊在2025年似乎正在跟随类似的M2供应增长轨迹（基于Wyckoff积累模型），尽管存在一定滞后。 `, t5 L: m/ I; o
! n% j4 Z+ U! g( c6 S 分析师TedPillows在X平台表示：“若与M2增长趋势对应，ETH当前应已突破8000美元。这表明ETH当前被严重低估，可能是当下最具潜力的交易之一。”
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本周一，现货比特币ETF结束了连续12个交易日的资金净流入，当日录得1.31亿美元净流出。此前12日累计净流入高达66亿美元。瑞士区块链研究机构Swissblock预计此趋势将持续，认为：“随着市场进入新一轮周期，! r' B: u9 i# Y' S
6 Q# r P- M m+ L9 M! @* CETH正取代BTC成为市场主导。”! l5 T+ J: A* z/ }5 X, w
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