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[虚拟币交流]
当前市场：为什么BTC横盘但Altcoin却在“流血”？
[复制链接]
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在最近的几次走势中，我们很容易注意到：BTC横盘（震荡）在稳定的价格区间内。% c; f: u Y5 L, M
Altcoin持续下跌，尽管比特币尚未出现剧烈下跌。1 v4 c( d2 [( D3 P+ O3 N2 t
越南市场的USDT汇率仍然很高，显示出对稳定币的需求并未减弱。
& z( o# M: W* k$ ?! s4 [5 y+ ]你们可以比较两张图表：altcoin/BTC和Altcoin/USDT的相对强弱指数。- N; {6 c2 g2 `$ R7 I" V
从九月初开始。上涨时，alt/btc弱于usdt，因为atl/usdt对冲使用了期货杠杆，而下跌时则强于usdt，因为直接通过现货交易。 ^( H' ]& G$ o/ A
alt/btc9 E" X# l) L F5 R
alt/usdt, V8 Q6 D* ]: ]7 U. g. H2 w
那么，发生了什么？2 _" s! g0 E; Z+ i# z
1. 大户轮换资金) P0 r# }1 D0 P L+ `4 \
与其直接将山寨币抛售为USDT（会导致alt/USDT图表大幅下滑），大户和市场做市商选择将山寨币转换为BTC或ETH。
/ R# b, C% V1 o, J/ [4 g0 C这种方式使得alt/USDT对看起来仍然相对稳定。9 \; N. f- y |6 N# F) {; r
但实际上，如果观察ALT/BTC或ALT/ETH对，我们会发现山寨币贬值非常严重。7 i/ w( u' t' @+ C* v
2. 市场的防御心理
& [2 C8 n# J- a8 a3 n' b投资者正在缩小风险，优先选择BTC和ETH——这些资产流动性大，波动性小。
1 v6 B8 [# K8 J. W1 a. o" V1 I这解释了为什么资金没有流入山寨币，导致它们逐渐疲弱。
! b9 C$ p; B) o1 b2 E2 H! V) B& n3. 需要关注的信号9 A8 u6 M; N& L6 R4 ?) }; A
BTC主导率和ETH主导率有上升趋势→确认资金流向大币种。% A$ }% x$ p% W j; ]
山寨币市场总市值持续下降→显示山寨币仍在被抽血。* n/ {* }' g/ @; {4 V: B1 W+ O
USDT保持高价→稳定币需求依然强劲，USDT主导率仍高，但尚未出现资金愿意冒险回流的迹象。
Z4 D# m2 S/ o4 g+ D4. 对投资者的意义- n- j% P9 ]/ B6 u: Q
在这个阶段，缺乏新买盘的山寨币难以形成独立波动。
$ O. A2 G( ]: R# F3 f; F, y! J如果BTC横盘时间过长后再大幅波动，山寨币可能会被“踩”出一个波段。
: w, e& M. ]1 k/ ]安全策略：关注资金流动，避免过多持有弱势山寨币，集中于顶级币或在强烈信号出现后再大举投资山寨币。6 \1 }, m( `: ` [ |4 ]/ C( H% p
结论：市场正进入大户收集BTC/ETH流动性的阶段，山寨币只是资金轮换周期中的“猎物”。散户投资者需要保持警觉，不要被alt/USDT尚未崩盘的感觉迷惑，以为这是机会。4 x) e( B7 P1 l! ]7 s
#加密货币#
! g! m$ T0 W# C* x/ @) G7 }/ n$ a# U V, T# N7 N& A
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当前离线
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市场操作有点阴谋论，大户在搞鬼转移资金，小散步森严防范保身。 |
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当前离线
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当前离线
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这波山寨币被割得血淋淋的，BTC装死不动，小币全在裸奔，庄家明显在抽水换仓呢 |
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