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[虚拟币交流]
加密货币市场停滞在3.7万亿美元附近，投资者极度恐慌（转）
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近几周来，比特币价格走势停滞不前，引发了人们对其如同冷清的首次公开募股（IPO）的联想，市场参与者正努力应对多重利空压力。分析师指出，链上流动性下降，以及即将到来的……! M' l! ^9 Y5 N7 I t; B
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令牌
* f- e8 M% Q) p: V" Q据报道，资金解锁和机构外流是导致加密货币表现不佳的主要原因，在投资者普遍谨慎的背景下，加密货币总市值徘徊在3.7万亿美元附近。1 F; X2 w, U$ L
科伊诺塔格报告
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链上流动性是去中心化金融（DeFi）协议的关键指标，自10月27日达到1576.4亿美元的峰值以来，已暴跌79.4亿美元，目前为1497亿美元。这一跌幅反映出买盘兴趣的急剧下降，随着不确定性的加剧，卖方主导了市场。雪上加霜的是，未来两周将有超过3.1056亿美元的代币解锁，仅本周就有5126万美元可供交易。分析师警告称，这种供应注入可能会加剧本已脆弱的市场环境下的下跌趋势。区块链研究员Alex Thorn指出：“在市场恐慌的情况下解锁代币会加剧波动，因为持有者会在价格进一步下跌之前争相抛售。”/ P" d; W# G7 e" @3 O3 e2 W7 f( P
机构资金外流进一步加剧了这种困境。交易所交易基金（ETF）- h& b* M) q9 s) R& I$ R% T
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比特币4 u2 ]1 m! Y8 q9 w1 @" H! p
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. }; D7 q2 K9 m0 I: T Z1 Y3 m根据DeFiLlama的数据，仅两天（10月29日至30日）就录得12.2亿美元的净赎回额。大型投资者的这波抛售潮导致市场供应过剩，抑制了价格上涨，并阻碍了散户参与。与此同时，企业加密货币购买量跌至七周以来的最低点3.6498亿美元，与8月下旬66.7亿美元的峰值形成鲜明对比。分析师表示，企业购买量的减少通常预示着价格将进入一段较长的盘整期。: y, @, o# `$ |9 j2 l, [ R
近期链上活动呈现出喜忧参半的局面。据报道，一位名为 Owen Gunden 的比特币巨鲸于 11 月 2 日向 Kraken 存入了 193.77 个比特币（价值 2149 万美元）。" y5 q2 Z, {, W+ X; I, F) T
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一篇Coinotag文章% u4 F6 l( ^! W6 m
然而，这一走势尚未转化为更广泛的看涨势头。此外，正如前文所述，11.1万美元至11.7万美元之间的流动性清仓引发了2.4亿美元的清算，清理了过度杠杆头寸并稳定了未平仓合约。$ V* q$ J7 i/ C
一件Coinotag作品3 Q7 K' E$ o4 m# s- p8 l4 k
尽管这一事件可能为价格反弹至11.5万美元以上铺平道路，但价格仍受技术指标制约。衡量市场情绪的恐慌与贪婪指数目前处于28的水平——被归类为“极度恐慌”——凸显了投资者信心的脆弱性。1 ~$ a/ k5 y. f3 H: Z! [. U. M
未来走势仍不明朗。Coinotag 的报告指出，如果流动性持续收缩且代币解锁不受阻碍，分析师预测加密货币市场将持续承压，市值可能逼近 3.5 万亿美元的支撑位。然而，监管政策明朗化或宏观经济形势好转等积极因素可能会改变这一趋势。目前，建议投资者优先考虑风险管理，并密切关注链上信号，以寻找市场企稳的迹象。
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