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[lastpost] => 2803260 Galaxy Digital 警告称比特币可能出现更深的回调（转） 1770141267 sq1001
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[虚拟币资讯]
Galaxy Digital 警告称比特币可能出现更深的回调（转）
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比特币在 1 月下旬的急剧抛售加剧了关于市场是否接近周期性底部，还是仅仅进入下一轮下跌的争论。
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3 L9 P0 t0 J& g Y5 b6 H' R; b据 Galaxy Digital 研究主管 Alex Thorn 称，近期价格走势表明下行风险依然较高，比特币可能在未来几周或几个月内向长期技术支撑位靠拢。8 D; C- z3 Y5 S$ E
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Galaxy Digital警告称，比特币可能向58000美元附近的长期支撑位靠拢。
' {4 P: W! {$ F% G6 |5 P; BThorn 在一份发给 Galaxy 客户的研究报告中表示，比特币价格可能会走低，接近 70,000 美元，然后在未来几周或几个月内可能会跌至 200 周移动平均线（约 60,000 美元）。$ @. d. _9 X. `5 i8 I U
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“……从历史数据来看，这些价位一直是长期投资者的绝佳入场点。”写道刺。& l4 X: E, A2 v2 ?' n8 J6 ]# v
4 p- _' r. y( ^& y& j比特币在1月28日至31日期间下跌了约15%，仅周六一天就下跌了10%，引发了市场动荡。超过20亿美元的长期清算涉及所有衍生品交易场所。值得注意的是，这是有史以来规模最大的清算事件之一。
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- F( d8 g2 v( u; l2 J' s' I在 Coinbase 交易所，比特币价格一度跌至 75,644 美元，跌幅接近 10%。低于美国现货比特币ETF的平均成本基础估计价值约 84,000 美元。( d/ d3 J+ v1 ?/ o- q
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比特币也曾一度如此。跌破了Strategy的平均购买价格，接近76,000美元。并接近了 2025 年 4 月的“关税风暴”低点。# C" B# D& m, ^$ f6 N3 I' l
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此次下跌导致越来越多的投资者蒙受损失。索恩指出，目前比特币流通供应量中约有 46% 处于亏损状态，这一比例在历史上通常与熊市后期相关。5 j' e9 G; P, a, S. J6 L
$ ?3 G$ [# @8 i9 b* ^& w) \链上数据也揭示了一个薄弱环节。所有权范围在7万至8万美元之间Thorn 表示，随着需求受到考验，这一领域可能会增加进一步下跌的可能性。
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“链上数据、关键价格水平的疲软、宏观经济的不确定性以及缺乏短期催化剂表明，未来几周或几个月内，比特币价格将走低，向200周移动均线靠拢，”Thorn说道。写道在后续帖子中。4 ~. c6 B7 o" @" t3 C
- J4 l' n" J6 O) P# H: T @( y- {) P他还补充说，目前接近 56,000 美元的实际价格和 58,000 美元左右的 200 周移动平均线，历史上在周期底部附近都会趋于一致。
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