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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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; _; G8 A) ?5 @5 [5 Z+ y
有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。1 p8 ^( W Q( Y2 t$ i
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这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。
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8 _) l" W E6 o6 x6 N7 q) _. o2 R: |' d为什么？+ N" |2 L" `1 h$ O1 j# C- ~: p
- d: A8 @3 K3 b0 C7 X" N2 ?
1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。
" E1 ]% D3 N( ^, p2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。1 D3 B7 a$ N* W4 v' p
假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。 B2 |( t% e- T! ~+ R
第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4
, B& y0 K- L2 E1 s+ H7 ? 第一把输，你没有了。/ x4 C h# Y- U5 ]. E' Y
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。% ]- ?7 M! U3 c9 Z) T% y
第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。) A% v2 v! I. r' R& |
…………无限下去。
* ^( [7 _% R; E" R清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
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7 U7 o( H- n7 }% r7 o是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
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这就是总是输的原因。。
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为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？" j7 s* I a2 T/ T; r8 }: z
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1、我觉得可以打偏差。4 _9 ]/ Y+ G' v8 R
2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。4 ^, G) Y& x& d+ v
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但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。1 {$ s( D" a, _8 @% j
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人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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