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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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* Z1 U( G% D% w. }! w有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。4 g$ r/ \" J- P: V0 x8 f9 m! b
9 U3 i$ @3 m# ^1 |$ }
这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。, g9 G! e5 I' a' l; i" ~3 T0 z
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为什么？: ]- m! r `- E1 g' ^, @
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1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。+ d `' E/ ~( _: O1 t2 K
2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。
5 }1 J, u" q8 W 假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。
+ B% e: X6 G9 o+ L 第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4# ~9 N, O: T' H7 |
第一把输，你没有了。
5 c8 T5 w- \, s) |/ d 第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。# q5 |9 p! W9 G
第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。
* l" M2 @6 c" F1 f' J; \: ^" m …………无限下去。
) I5 P/ M7 @$ w8 Z# L R- U; Y0 N7 x清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……1 m# w. K9 H I) `' }- d
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是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。 A3 |- ]: }- R, V/ x- F% D0 d
5 T6 T! h/ S: U. C$ R d这就是总是输的原因。。
8 L( |' v" f5 j+ s6 o" y+ N' p! b8 s& q. V
为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？
3 @# P+ X3 D$ N% l9 w, L3 Y3 X6 A9 k6 H. j% Y. O! ~4 K8 G
1、我觉得可以打偏差。* }! ?$ x' s- _
2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。1 _4 `' @' i, n( t% R, n
6 |5 o# G& A0 f但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。
- \( e9 s! R$ _: e) J7 P# \% `/ O# ~. A% Z B
人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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