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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了,下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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( q: K4 { ^1 b7 |+ K$ e
有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50,输赢各半的结果,但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。
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( B+ F3 P& r `" U( b0 w0 R3 n! g7 r! ~! y$ I这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50,输赢是对半,但是我们真正玩起来,许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。
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2 w8 Z; n1 i1 r* o为什么?
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1、因为下注的次数太多了(任何人都逃不过5050)。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。
9 C3 B, v6 b2 J! O9 f2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样,也可能是5050。3 m2 U$ U7 ]) t H% _
假如你只有最后一个码了,而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。) T+ U# C% b/ p
第一把赢,你有两个码,平注,无限继续下去的话,你输光的概率是1/4
$ k3 A6 z3 x! F p- j- ?2 H 第一把输,你没有了。: `" z: u) r( i3 V$ F
第二把赢,你有三个码,平注,无限继续下去的话,你输光的概率是1/8。
$ |* e; G. x: H7 _! g 第二把输赢,你还可以继续。。+ a# x; q/ c6 J
…………无限下去。: _; m# H5 O. B3 u. {5 }% m9 C7 l" j
清袋的概念,不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32…… i2 w( e- O* a; e6 \, u
6 i4 x/ v, M& R* d K* K是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
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这就是总是输的原因。。
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% G- w! L2 w" R) S为什么我还要继续玩下去呢??
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3 p: m' a4 v. o& I' E) `5 B1、我觉得可以打偏差。
: L1 D! l8 L) ~8 c" R, L0 ~2、存送1%,返水1%,加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。
2 p( {! e) q2 B+ y# Y( U5 x( C: C" j" ?; ^, a( ~. {
但是,这,,,只是理论,实践考虑的因素更多。。
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人的心态不可控,人的行为不可控,人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择,所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择,运气不好的话,就会连续选择错误,也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的,在正常的不作弊的情况下,庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半,庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了,反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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