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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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* y: B6 Q+ z7 }0 @- n2 Q7 D4 o% | z有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。/ ~$ |# D' Y0 H* m. Z/ I
+ [" M6 t' `) y) x% q) X
这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。
. x7 R+ _+ T: d1 F8 H7 N" u( }/ H/ M
, l2 @- f1 n5 Z! b' R i1 o; B" e0 s为什么？8 H4 t, E R5 p' f
7 m5 o( y, q/ T& Q) G7 s/ { \# u1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。' d4 O" d) P f. D2 I; q# {6 c) i
2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。8 ^' a6 D2 s/ T/ H
假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。. ^0 p" W0 r0 O
第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4
0 k4 ]5 ]) @$ k 第一把输，你没有了。7 Q% E1 |+ `6 b1 Y; Y
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。
8 \" m" X+ b/ u. n' n 第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。# _6 X' H8 {5 H
…………无限下去。
4 x0 f! b* I% U& m2 M# {清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……1 N! e3 n2 r& c8 n! Z/ t' G2 h( e
, g* O) Y3 J2 K' |6 d8 ~# Q2 T
是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。% v9 a; J& F( j9 y a
4 U, k% P, [* H# l( K I% v' {这就是总是输的原因。。, ^/ M/ t. T# g
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为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？
# v. G3 p! H9 w9 _) `
0 w' g' h1 y" _8 w1、我觉得可以打偏差。
3 v r' [ D& E0 _2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。
# u t- {' p, D! U! x- @$ S# j5 c" i# U; G
但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。4 B! A8 m$ ~) ]+ Q: B3 \
+ x9 _" j, b4 }9 ~# Y G6 t
人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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