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名称:必发指数
$ i- \; X1 {& ?- g u* q: e% c; b2 {6 }# e3 C9 _
& M u2 r/ Y& q7 A( {必发指数,通过对必发标盘成交数据模型进行大量计算、记录、统计分析之后,推出的一个指示市场交易倾向的指数体系其所有的数据都真实来源于必发交易所成交,其核心模型为:单一指数=(单项成交量 X 单项成交价)/ (胜平负三项的量价乘积之和)。
9 I' T- y. u4 A4 c7 W
必发指数概念 必发交易所是英国在线菠菜交易平台,创立于2000年,并曾获得英女王颁发杰出商业成就奖。
5 B# u/ ?$ q. o0 a4 k 很多人认为必发是一个庄家,这个概念并不正确.因为必发交易所虽然是菠菜平台,但是它和传统的庄家有着非常不同的地方.相对来说,必发交易所,和股票交易所更像.它最大的运作特色和我们常见的股票交易所,比如上海股票交易所、深圳股票交易所非常相似。必发交易,和股票交易一样,都具备相同的特点.所以,现实世界中关于股票市场的各种理论,操作,判断分析,都可以稍加灵活运用,应用到必发的市场分析中.
, v4 s) b* |7 n3 d 结果嘛,和股票一样,"赢"或"输"!
# C P4 a; y9 S! w* f* t
必发指数,通过对必发标盘成交数据模型进行大量计算、记录、统计分析之后,推出的一个指示市场交易倾向的指数体系其所有的数据都真实来源于必发交易所成交,其核心模型为:
, T8 k$ P9 S( Q) |" ~1 N 单一指数=(单项成交量 X 单项成交价)/ (胜平负三项的量价乘积之和) , ~. u% c, f: n0 A. v
从而准确计算出当前市场中买卖双方资金投入和锁定状况。其中,单项成交量和单项成交价,如果精确到具体每一笔成交来计算,然后再计算总和,那么其精确性将十分可观。目前必发指数网运用多台高速计算机从必发交易所后台专用数据通道接受每一市场(每一场比赛)的成交然后进行运算,计算出相应的必发指数供彩民参考。
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必发指数特点( W1 C" i( y: B/ ?' G- W; X: U/ |/ E
由于必发指数最后计算的数据是不断由成交变化累积而成的,因此即时指数会呈现以下两个重要的特点:
/ Y% n- C" U" m. `% k- Y 1:市场整体性
9 ^6 H* _* K: g) o( X! U 它能够清晰反映出当前市场的资金流向与热卖程度。比如说,如果大资金看好主队,它在临场12个小时就大笔“买入”了主队100万并且成交,那么这笔资金直到比赛完场结算,都会一直留在已成交的金额中,并对指数一直产生相应份额的影响。$ l [# G* Y0 _+ P* L) t
这样我们就很轻易可以从指数的整个变化过程中,发现每个成交单项的资金集中情况和热卖情况,并帮助我们判断某场比赛的资金具体流向,是“买方”主导,还是“卖方”主导等等。 & m& o2 e' t- t! U( k: Y8 [% C
2:可统计性' L) Z2 h* F" ^, K
每个市场由于所对应的球队、赛事等均有一段时间内的整体稳定性特点,因此在可统计的一定时间内(比如曼联,再怎么差劲,在3年内其表现是正常的,而平均最近20到40场比赛的表现则反映出实力状态),指数与赛果呈现稳定联系。
2 g" [4 G! E, L- Q, Q; r2 }2 { 这样在指数统计中形成的有倾向性的分布状况,将有助于我们稳定判断球队在获得一定资金支持的情况下,会有什么样的胜负表现。 ; i3 N" x) y5 T- l$ N' \% Q
必发指数根据这两大重要特点,进行了大量的统计运算,从而建立了一整套完整的指数分析体系,玩家只需要根据现场成交变化、指数走势变化以及历史统计指数强弱区间,已经能够在相当高的程度上把握比赛赛果甚至比赛进程。 2 n2 K' F+ y }+ Q* H
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