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[947] => 版主推荐
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[版主推荐]
越来越发现，学好概率，在菠菜中占据的重要性是那么大
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不论是玩真人，还是体育
5 z+ k* Q( G5 r! [比如真人，首先要计算好每种游戏的抽水率是多少，打个比方，骰宝的抽水就是有216种可能，其中的六种就是通杀
0 `2 N/ A2 f- L5 f那么抽水率就是 6除以216=2.77% 也就是说，要时刻清醒的告诉自己，每下100元，铁定输给庄家两块七毛七
6 f7 u& I, a8 d" t& V1 u, q2 G这样的话，结合存送等各种优惠，结合返水，找到适合自己的打法，才能使总优惠的概率超过这个 两块七毛七，那么你就是盈利的5 u, v5 f8 K' |7 q
; G$ K7 o9 G1 ~; ]7 G1 p! K体育也是的，虽然体育有技巧在里面，也有假球在里面，下注的时候也要考虑概率
4 o; f. U, z& X# X9 X7 w/ i就拿nba来举例吧，很多人愿意砸盘口，可是盘口的两面水位极其低，尤其的滚球的时候，只有0.83$ r$ \6 _6 u7 f- R% g& A
0.83 的意思，就是每下200元抽水17元，竟然高达8.5%，也就是说你每下100元，铁定输给庄家8块5.
5 j) m7 ]9 R& U再通俗点说，100除以8.5，你按照100一次的下，下了11.76次，这100元必定输光，这个是铁律
) Q# w, j/ l$ S8 G. w3 i1 {况且nba盘口上也许有假球，杀大赔小，就莫不如下 单双好了纯玩运气，赔率0.94 抽水3%，虽然没有技术含量但是稳，这个3%比真人高点，但是不假
- g' k' q2 { G) H i$ N+ G) O想象着自己懂球，去砸0.83，就不算有假球，抽水也早就被抽没了
$ }: k7 ~6 J* j" b1 A下注之前多三思，算算概率简单的数学题，对自己保持清醒的头脑，和盈利最大化，很有帮助
7 ?; t4 i) N2 E% u t5 M; x$ h) m, G( x; v1 C
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, T6 T' j1 y S% B% y0 c" e
谢谢哈尼支持，必须理性啊0 j+ e! q2 {8 Z, F% o3 }1 \5 }3 h
菠菜没有运气一说，就是概率法则 |
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: o+ Y6 R; u, t! k2 Q5 X5 O# V. F: Z你的思路，我一直比较赞同，你的帖子我也在看! g9 T4 f7 A% s7 c
你的下注方式，也是比较科学，有空多交流 |
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荷风送香 发表于 2016-1-30 10:034 r p, ~# ?6 e& O: o9 f
不论是玩真人，还是体育) f4 \$ c! ?* p' Q% k, ~& i4 \, A- N
比如真人，首先要计算好每种游戏的抽水率是多少，打个比方，骰宝的抽水就是有216 ...
: v" M3 _- ?' c+ J' a' D% l所谓的概率那么都是骗人的，还是要运气的 |
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本帖最后由 荷风送香 于 2016-1-30 10:42 编辑
( @' [3 G) k3 |+ r
, ?7 Y! {" @8 ]9 q5 F& ]是啊 必须算啊
' r8 f7 t+ f! R& v- A V& ~5 J随意想起点 想法，码点字( w8 v( R$ c6 k6 d1 i+ d, @ ]4 z
版主还给加分了，多谢{:4_96:} |
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