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7.7以太坊（ETH）比特币（BTC）行情分析：市场复苏开始于波段性的反弹
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隔夜凌晨2两点的美联储FOMC将会公布6月货币政策会议纪要，美联储官员一致同意，需要以更快的速度加息以对抗通胀，可能在7月加息50或75个基点。美联储官员们对经济前景的预测相对黯淡，虽然目前对于通膨数据依旧担忧，但较为明显的是当前市场对于经济疲软占据上风，7月持续加息75个基点的市场预期概率是有所降低，加息的基点数增加的可能性几乎是没有的，对于整个加密市场来短期可能出现回暖的情况。
加密市场面临两大不确定，一是加密市场内部一些交易平台资不抵债，一是美联储因通胀问题可能进一步激进加息问题。首先加密市场内部的问题目前更加趋于明朗化，资产风险正在被市场消化和清理，同样的加息预期带来的利好消息也是让市场的恐慌情绪在降低。对于目前影响整体市场走势重点消息面需要关注本月13号将要公布的CPI数据以及数据公布之前的预期情况，再次之前加密市场必将出现整体的反弹走势且有望形成底部形态。
7月7日比特币（BTC)行情分析解读：比特币方面本周以来整体上是处于阶梯式的反弹中，连续三日行情都是盘整于19500上方位置，这个位置也是本周反弹以来笔者多次提到的重点回撤防守位置，操作上也是多次在该位置布局短线多单，错过的就不说了，跟上的收获想必也是不错的。隔夜行情预测完全符合本人预期，会议纪要公布出现的小幅利多的局面，公布后行情在日内冲破20500位置后承压，回踩力度明显较弱。原因很简单，长期的下跌过程小级别的反弹需要多次才能得到市场的确认，所以冲击回踩继续更多资本才能形成紧密的下方支撑。比特币目前走势来看，在CPI数据市场预期之前我们需要重点关注一次波段性的反弹行情，简单来说就是调整持续高位空单思路，开始尝试回踩多单的思路去操作，当然这不是抄底，只能保留适当仓位去抓这个波段。
7月7日比特币（BTC)日内部分操作计划：比特币日内操作关注下方回踩20150位置支撑，多单进场，止损19750下方位置，目标20650-20800区间直接离场。反弹20800位置空单进场，目标关注20150-20000位置分批止盈，止损放在21300上方位置；
7月7日以太坊（ETH)行情分析解读：以太坊方面走势日线来看当前走势K线结构上正在形成上升三角形的走势，目前依旧没有改变，昨日的分享中重点提到了1180和1250位置承压位置，并给出了借助市场利好有望上方压力线，行情走势日内完全符预期。日内走势来看，行情在突破1180的压力线后并没有延续冲击1250位置的能量，这样的结果是可以接受的，长期的下跌导致投资者对于市场的失望，并且在获取利润后及时出售规避风险，导致市场复苏和反弹异常的缓慢和艰难。同样突破1880位置后承压回踩的力度显得很弱，这说明市场的恐慌正在降低，更多短期复苏能量正在缓慢进场。操作上我们需要跟上这波复苏资本，抓好这一次的波段性反弹行情。
7月7日以太坊（ETH)日内部分操作计划：以太坊（ETH）操作上关注下方回踩1150位置短线支撑多单进场，止损1100下方位置，目标关注1200-1230位置。反弹上方1230位置空单进场，止损1265上方位置，目标关注1180-1150一线位置；
来源：金色财经 |
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