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盘中宝——加密市场情绪回暖 以太坊合并测试已完成90%
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分析师称多头现在似乎正在重返市场,过去几天,科技股、加密货币和其他风险资产都出现了相当大的反弹,至少表明现在的市场风险偏好有所好转。观察恐慌指数可以发现,加密市场情绪确实出现一定好转。加之,以太坊合并进度加快,形成一定利好,资金看多情绪上涨。但是,从今日合约数据看,市场看空力量仍然很重,技术图上也显示出看跌迹象,投资者宜谨慎。
一、大盘概述——比特币受阻回落,以太坊合并测试已完成90%
大盘行情
据币赢行情显示,比特币昨日大幅下挫,目前短线上攻,上方受阻于MA5,承压下挫。整体上看,空头力量相对较强,BTC上方抛压较重,后市预计进一步回落。BTC 24小时涨幅0.02%,ETH 24小时涨幅3.30%。
数据观察
据Coinmarket数据显示,BTC目前市值占比42.0%(昨天42.7%),BTC市值占比略有回落。据alternative.me数据显示,今日恐慌与贪婪指数为33(昨日34),市场恐慌情绪变化不大。据OKLink数据显示,灰度GBTC溢价率为-29.62%(昨日-28.50%),GBTC溢价率有所回落。据币coin数据显示,截止今日13时,BTC当前资金费率 +0.01%(昨日+0.002%),资金做多力量有所上升;目前比特币RSI 14(买卖相对强弱指数)为58.21(昨日57.56),场内买盘力量变化不大。
宏观消息
北京时间22日凌晨,美股周四收高,三大股指均录得连续第三日上涨。特斯拉大涨近10%,推动纳指攀升。
上周初请失业救济人数创8个月新高,显示劳动力市场降温。欧洲央行加息50个基点,为11年来首次加息。
V神:在扩容路线图的最后,以太坊将能够每秒处理10万笔交易;另外,以太坊合并测试已完成90%;
泰国证券交易委员会秘书长:将修订数字资产监管法规,加强对加密资产平台的监管;
在Coinbase内幕交易指控后,SEC将9种加密货币列为证券;被列出的9种加密货币分别是AMP、RLY、DDX、XYO、RGT、LCX、POWR、DFX和KROM。
二、板块异动—— Derivatives板块盘中涨幅较大,LinkedIn创始人推出NFT系列
板块数据
加密市场板块涨幅前五板块有: Derivatives(7.8%)、Yield Aggregator(6.8%)、Perpetuals(5.8%)、Liquid Staking Tokens(5.3%)、Move To Earn(5.1%);
机构投资板块
在A16Z Portfolio 板块中,24小时涨幅前三的币种:OXT、UNI、CELO;
在Coinbase Ventures Portfolio板块中24小时涨幅排名前三的币种:SNX、ROUTE、MATIC;
在DCG Portfolio 板块中,24小时涨幅排名前三的币种为:ETC、xDG、DG;
在Pantera Capital Portfolio板块中,24小时涨幅前三的币种为:CONV、GEM、GTO;
在Animoca Brands 板块中,24小时涨幅前三的币种为:APE、BLOK、SAND;
板块消息
嘉善县召开国家区块链创新应用试点建设推进会;
LinkedIn创始人推出基于Solana的NFT系列“Untranslatable Words”;
Coinbase首席法务官回应内幕交易事件:不涉及证券欺诈;Coinbase批评美国加密货币监管现状,为SEC提供相关建议;
三、大币种异动——CRV盘中涨幅较大,ENS与Huobi Global达成合作
加密市场排名前一百的币种中,涨幅前五的币种有: CRV(22.6%)、SNX(17.6%)、APE(17.5%)、ETC(14.3%)、RUNE(13.9%);
热门赛道币种异动
DeFi赛道排名涨幅前三:NMR、RAMP、CRV;
NFT赛道排名涨幅前三: XMON、FIO、APE;
Play To Earn 板块7日涨幅排名前三:APE、BLOK、TRIAS;
每日热度最高的前五个币种分别为: BTC、FTM、CAKE、RVLT、MATIC;
大币种
Brave Wallet已集成至Lido Finance、Venus Protocol等6个新协议;
ENS与Huobi Global达成合作,将支持在Huobi平台使用ENS域名;
四、合约数据异动——BTC空头持仓占优,短线多空博弈激烈
据币coin数据显示,截止13:00,BTC在Bitmex上多空持仓量比为:多头46.52%,空头53.48%,空头持仓占优。据OKx合约数据显示,在小时图上,BTC多空持仓人数比震荡走低。综合来看,BTC合约市场空头持仓占优,多空持仓人数比震荡走低,BTC后市预计震荡回落。
五、大V观点——多头似乎重新回归市场,以太坊正经历一个漫长而复杂的过渡
分析师称多头现在似乎正在重返市场,过去几天,科技股、加密货币和其他风险资产都出现了相当大的反弹,至少表明现在的市场风险偏好有所好转。
V神在巴黎的EthCC会议上表示,以太坊正经历一个漫长而复杂的过渡,将成长为一个更强大且稳定的系统。而完成这个过渡,需要在以太坊的货币政策和安全模型方面进一步提升。
六、研报解读——一文解读Rollup系Layer2战局
自从OP发币之后,其他二层协议也开始陆续公布发币计划,本文就《Rollup系Layer2战局:发行Token争夺市场》进行解读,核心内容如下:
1.Optimistic Rollup系L2网络的TVL更高,既能保证区块链网络安全、又能提高网络吞吐量的Rollup技术,正在成为以太坊Layer2(L2)扩容解决方案的主流技术。
2. 基于该技术形成的解决方案又因为共识算法的不同形成了Optimistic Rollup和ZK Rollup两大流派,且这两种解决方案都有了已经落地的L2网络。目前,Optimistic Rollup的L2代表网络是Optimism和Arbitrum;ZK Rollup方案的L2落地网络的主要选手是StarkNet和zkSync。
3. 因为Optimism和Arbitrum的主网具有先发优势。ZK Rollup系的zkSync和StarkNet,在TVL、市场份额方面都远不如Optimistic Rollup系的Optimism和 Arbitrum。
4. ZK Rollup系的网络落地要稍慢于另一派系,主要是因为基于「零知识证明算法」的ZK Rollup技术方案较为复杂,需要时间。该系列的L2网络与EVM的兼容方面一直难有突破。
5.Arbitrum死磕用户体验。「The Arbitrum Odyssey」生态项目探索活动计划的主要目的是以NFT来激励用户与生态应用交互,让用户通过执行链上任务来了解和体验链上DApp的使用。在提升用户体验层面上,Arbitrum甚至开发了新链,变成了双链生态——Arbitrum One和Arbitrum Nova。
6.ZkSync注重改进网络性能。Vitalik |
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