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DB的魅力在于,有赢有输,对于赢家来说,一夜翻身,不要太爽。: e: Z0 g4 e6 u, u: k3 P4 }' ]
6 l5 Y- i" m7 h% c; g- w- t
就算输一次,还有打缆的方式,不断加倍,保证盈利。, k: d3 F" p; Z3 ~
i" K c9 `4 o, ~2 h0 Y
真是富贵在天,生死有命。
' S- U7 v. x+ ]. T
- F0 V9 D3 v& Z# }/ s于是我假设赔率1:1,自己推演了一番。6 X1 X( [& l) N) C& [) H# m+ |4 S& y& I
. G R5 [. r2 u- {0 H2 v5 o+ J
有一些基本事实:" D. I2 v. e8 l2 v
* T' z( F( H) `1 \( g% Y q1,独立性:每次DB都是独立事件,这次赢和下次输完全不相关。
$ c) O- g) G' }, D" Y5 k
: S3 G5 h: B5 Q: b+ l+ z/ T( T2,大数定律不适用:抛硬币的次数越多,正面和反面各自出现的次数就越接近。但是要做上千上万次实验才会使其非常接近。
8 ]' T. |+ l6 d: M* M" d
0 h1 R6 a# y7 l5 C有一些基本方法:
; S* Z" b; [1 d+ a/ Q; q
/ Q0 C' \1 b ]" T/ m/ B5 o1,打缆:输一次加注一次,假设第一次输1000,下次押2000可能盈利1000,再输,下4000保证盈利1000,以此类推。
% _3 ~( {1 J! s$ L' A, _$ M- t# `* Y4 M# }
有一些心理规律:
, e1 }: Z- i- K+ X$ H1 D$ V7 C+ N( n! l( `. _( e6 R4 Z" Q9 T' j
(此处假设6次是因为,正规赌场为了保证盈利,只给你6次机会)
. |! g4 X. V4 |) {9 R4 Y9 {% E9 G2 i9 u; r; S; |
1,我们可能连续赢钱,假设我们连续6次,当我们连续赢钱的时候,总觉得下次就要亏了,信心递减,所以很可能不断地减少下注,1000,800,600,400,200,100,总计盈利3100块$ L) m: |7 V8 E0 T$ [$ y
- _8 p$ }" v3 R/ d1 p2,我们可能连续输钱,假设我们连续6次,当我们连续输钱的时候,总觉得下次就要赢了,信心渐增,所以可能不断地加倍的下注,1000,2000,4000,8000,16000,32000,总计亏损63000块4 s) H6 a( k* P6 v
& ?' _; H/ N2 T8 V, b7 i" b
(很明显,都是连续6次,概率近乎相等,但盈利或亏损金额却完全不对等;再者,第六次下注32000,只是为了盈利1000块,32000对1000) |
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老哥这样的盈利也是特别让我嫉妒啊,到底是怎样做到的 |
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方法最后一段话觉得是有感觉的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟时运太差了。 |
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