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[虚拟币交流]
联准会加息0.25、利率创22年新高！比特币冲高29700（转载）
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在今(27)日凌晨举办的美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议上，联准会一如市场预测宣6 d. y& _5 |& W, N% k1 O
布升息一码，将基准利率调高至5.25%-5.50%，创下自2001年以来最高水平。6 T& H% ^, L1 C6 w# D
鲍威尔：9月不排除连续升息2 ?. q, _. t4 g) p1 h. h6 v1 }7 O
联准会声明同样保持先前立场，在实现2%的通胀目标之后，Fed才会考虑采取宽松的货币政策，并依旧将监测通' c; T# g* t+ |! Q7 h, w
胀的滞后性：在确定额外政策紧缩程度以及当通胀率恢复到2%时，联准会才将考虑政策带来积累的紧缩、对经济
9 [" c s% N$ M活动造成的影响，并持续勘测通胀的滞后性。
" Y' |9 _; b* a+ k, a" f r, f, s联准会主席鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)也表示当前不排除于9月FOMC会议上连续升息的可能：如果有数据支持，我# h. P1 l; p9 T5 n0 J4 ]4 T
们有可能在9月的会议上继续提高利率…在有信心通膨可持续回落至2%目标之前，我们打算维持限制性立场。0 N4 j& y, @. C( n
同时鲍威尔重申，联准会不太可能在今年降息，并指出部分FOMC成员已将明年降息纳入经济预测。根据
+ Y5 P5 D# n3 f4 K3 F) nCMEGroup的FedWatch工具显示，市场当前认为联准会在9月继续加息的概率为22%，而保持当前利率水准的概
+ ]- G8 d8 ?4 `7 R R率为78%& X: l6 d6 o. t% N& a( f' R+ [
相信美国经济会软着陆9 z0 y1 b% ?7 Q. t6 a9 O5 W, g7 W
至于短期的经济发展，当时6月的FOMC会议声明称经济活动持续以「适当的」(modest)的步伐扩张，本次声明
8 P4 I4 T* ?! j( Y, \, F则称：经济活动一直以「温和的」(moderate)步伐扩张。
$ Y6 r% |0 @1 L鲍威尔仍相信，联准会可以带领美国经济软着陆，在维持限制性政策、通膨率下降的同时，避免引起严重的经济
$ x6 G( c! u3 c; i0 z衰退。- x! B3 [& S4 Y
美股市场微跌，比特币突破$29,650
) Q0 G4 k4 L) ~1 F. Q$ h由于升息一码符合市场此前的预期，因此美股市场并未发生过大的波动，四大指数市场表现如下：
6 P! a; h$ o) T/ o! \道琼工业指数上涨0.23%(82.05点)、收35,520.12点
/ y- m( d: I, \- \" v# I纳斯达克指数下跌0.12%(17.27点)、收14,127.28点
% f5 O$ ?( G$ m6 d标准普尔500指数下跌0.02%(0.71点)、收4,566.75点4 h% L1 E' {+ a9 l/ k* B* Z1 O8 i
费城半导体指数下跌1.49%(55.89点)、收3,699.37点。
% k3 M+ e2 m& V- @# c值得注意的是，比特币在联准会公布升息消息后再震荡中开启一波小幅上涨，一度逼近$29,700。截稿前，比特币
/ ^6 B6 [. `6 u0 t6 C. t7 t报价$29,342，近24小时涨幅0.5%。
' `" B+ k' D% x* I5 o& O* l- E( ^. U, e
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