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[虚拟币交流]
比特币跌破2.9万后回升!联准会官员:就业增长放缓 无需加息抗 膨(转载)
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美国劳工部昨(4)晚公布最新的非农就业数据结果爆冷,7月份的非农就业人数增加: y h' x) W* i* Q$ B4 g2 L
187,000人,低于预期的20万人,创下2020年12月以来最低记录。
* K: ?* O; g2 L2 W. b Z市场认为本月的非农就业突显了经济降温的迹象,并预计将缓解联准会在下次会议上升息的压力。
% t D6 Q& R3 n( i% }# X不过另一方面,失业率数据从6月份的3.6%降至7月份的3.5%,仍接近半个世纪以来的最低水平;且另外一个对抗
0 K6 @; `, ?! n! M: M2 N& ~) D& E通膨的关键指标,7月份平均时薪仍持续强劲成长,年增4.4%,高于市场预测的4.2%。! `- z h* j; Y- {7 ^0 s3 q
华尔街日报援引Glassdoor首席经济学家Daniel Zhao评论表示:就业市场仍处于缓慢但稳定的软着陆轨道上(通
: L/ H3 `& W; b0 x0 f膨率回到联准会2%的目标),而没有出现经济衰退和严重失业的结果。! u' J% Q" z$ t4 n* L. f1 P. [
联准会官员:就业增长放缓,不再需升息来对抗通膨
, w- j/ G6 u4 x# h( V# H3 K- s& b在周五的非农就业报告公布后,芝商所的FedWatch数据显示,市场预测联准会在下次利率会议上维持在现行利率
! K& k0 s' C% ~4 E2 C区间5.25%~5.50%的机率高达87%,认为将再升息一码的机率则为13%。$ n6 m$ H$ W+ ?- C
显示就业增长放缓的数据出来后,据财富周五报导,亚特兰大联邦准备银行行长Raphael Bostic公开表明他认为
# G; P! Q# a8 [没有必要进一步加息,我预计经济将以相当有序的方式放缓,而7月份的非农就业数据-18.7万人的增幅-将继续这
# ]) l% g4 X# F- \/ d一步伐,我预计这种情况不会在短时间内结束。8 ]" k7 @% O9 r7 S, K; [+ _. _
Bostic重申联准会正走在回到2%通膨目标的轨道上,并且可以通过长期将利率维持在当前水平来实现这一目标。
' b) F5 a2 l0 V4 ~9 a9 Z“我们今天处于限制性立场,随着通膨持续下降,限制性程度实际上随着通膨率与利率之间差距的扩大而增加。3 I; N2 A2 \. p9 Z/ y% \
所以我认为这将对经济施加足够的限制,使其继续放缓…我预计直到2024年,我们仍将处于限制性立场。”0 v' F% q3 G, v; j5 D! {/ R3 L
美股开高走低
6 v. q& `7 ^ Y) T6 h7 @昨日非农就业报告公布数据公布后,美股三大指数开高走低,一大影响是受苹果财报不佳,股价收盘大跌4.8%波& {1 }. `, A/ \9 b$ I5 m7 M0 N
及。
2 F7 b* ?# ]& }9 c: l* H. v+ `美股周五(4日)美股四大指数表现:
1 [7 O- |- ~; M3 o" x$ F' W9 @美股道琼指数下跌150.27点,或0.43%,收35,065.62点。
" k4 `7 H8 T/ e, V$ x4 w6 v# P: z纳斯达克指数下跌50.48点,或0.36%,收13,909.24点。! U4 s1 ^" j" }4 ]/ f2 X5 N X) q: w
标普500指数下跌23.86点,或0.53%,收4,478.03点。2 ^; |9 {- o# J. O% V6 {5 M3 j
费城半导体指数下跌8.87点,或0.24%,收3,699.20点。
4 e7 ~" w6 x/ C比特币跌破2.9万大关
- i3 ^* b; B9 o$ B而比特币方面,今日清晨则一度失守29,000美元大关,深夜跌超1.6%最低来到28,807美元,但截稿前已站回
_5 t' t& l% N, I( t8 a V29,084美元,近24小时下跌0.4%。
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