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[虚拟币交流]
Ripple加入ISDA会员！XRP目标价1896美元？（转载）
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支付网络公司Ripple近期加入了ISDA会员，有人乐观预估其币价会上看1,898美元。" O# Y! S0 u0 b% z/ W3 d
ISDA有何重要性？真的对XRP币价有如此深远的影响吗？
7 T: c* j. b# R& y2 Z什么是ISDA？" Q# S3 c1 f7 v) B( D! }( y
国际交换兼衍生性商品协会(International Swaps and Derivatives Association，ISDA)为总部位于美国纽约的非
: j- S% d) W4 I营利性组织，成立于1985年。银行或金融交易对手若要承作衍生性金融商品，都会预先签订所谓的ISDA主契约
# K0 }% a. b* o p' b(master agreement)，这个由ISDA设计，目前广为世界各金融中心所沿用的法律契约，其主要功能在于规范交易
# \+ H) U# b5 V* V) P* ~+ Q# P双方的法律风险及信用风险，并且通过中立的角色，设计出公平的法律条款，使双方的交易成本降低，有助于市
( o3 r+ T' b9 z1 d5 Q( T场的正常发展。
/ ? g, w) _% q换句话说，要跟全球的金融机构交易衍生性商品，就必需加入ISDA。
( X/ I$ w% w. s( }7 e4 ]6 O4 t进入ISDA的数字资产会员名单，目前仅有16名会员，其中大家比较熟悉的还包括Crypto.com、Algorand和
* i$ X" Q+ b% X* H& d, H+ jDigital Asset。3 X% x( R3 Z) g/ \& u' v: B8 x
加入ISDA，XRP目标价1,896美元？
* [" X; @: s; z/ W7 G% }Digital Perspectives PermaBull的推文引发了一系列讨论。他强调了Ripple与ISDA的合作对XRP价格的潜在影; C% i$ U, x+ d. h' Z3 \' ~
响，其中引用了Mr.Man的推算法，若Ripple能获得主流的采用，将使其币价来到1,896美元。- @. W; g) D/ B5 ?, O
根据其推论：+ n# g1 r* L3 `
现今全球衍生性商品总市值为1,000兆美元
" g" w+ G7 j8 K8 ]3 h- a% t& J6 a% a若Ripple能协助处理其中10%的交易量，也就是100兆美元
# N6 W4 v3 K7 ]- n9 GXRP目前总市值为349亿美元
0 `/ \# V5 N) l, y需成长2,865倍才能达到100兆美元: Q8 L2 r! y# g0 Q8 y% N7 a
而XRP目前币价为0.661742
( r- N# e7 l+ n4 J% u0.661742*2865=1,896.23美元. d5 u% ^9 Z; a4 a1 S
挟带ISO和ISDA的优势引导传统金融的采用？
$ o. J" r& {. K/ @- N不过观察XRP近期的走势，仅有在七月中因与SEC的诉讼案传出好消息而一度大涨99%，之后币价逐渐回落后似乎3 S: D6 _ m! q& i; K
也未有极大的波动。! A: V2 T2 E) a: h! \2 V- I) q# |
而上述的论点仅基于简单的假设和推论，比方说10%的交易量，是来自传统金融产业想利用区块链技术进行衍生3 v# H) f9 _3 R3 i4 i7 a4 C
性金融商品交易？交易量和市值的关系应该也不是如此直观而直接。但随着Ripple和SEC的诉讼案逐渐明朗，这8 T) S# E! p0 D0 i% L
个早期加入区块链的支付公司，是否有机会利用其XRP Ledger的底层技术，挟带ISO20022和ISDA的优势，慢慢
: R) V- @/ D+ U1 k引导传统金融的采用呢？& O5 m1 _7 F. c! t2 O
/ W+ T; k0 l( A7 o: S
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