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" Y7 L/ p8 O& U' g' g1 s6 _( `比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 * I7 I& s' ~: X7 z; P$ L! q# {
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监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，9 F3 g) v( m7 g7 y
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专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。
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# N1 X, k$ e$ T' o1 y' s0 k3 ]有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技9 }5 Y/ f" J! j$ [6 P& ?# g* F
g, |) X# u' d7 x+ [9 u6 x
股等风险较高的投资。
h7 t, F1 \8 Z3 t0 J% B# U4 i1 p% |8 ?% ]2 a) e
芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储
0 L6 m J+ k2 V; Y7 H2 M# A
2 x( z# F' e& |. \. x明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 , ?! U, S* M. E4 [# h
/ L5 r/ J$ m9 O, A0 d, E: M5 _6 q现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
! j ~: L( M+ N# e1 y& h# }! Y8 Y" X ?
因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。 8 |9 ?1 A- N1 p+ X
" _2 k1 ?8 A4 n0 ?$ \* `) f! D从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
8 e- r6 C+ H+ ~) T! T! U& r9 p9 I
3 W& U$ h9 {2 c1 t+ X更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
% [/ y( d* b/ A$ v1 J4 W
* J2 O3 x8 C& u0 F7 z仍有许多交易商可能买入。 9 W" [0 Y4 N4 R8 s9 K
: L t& h. v, B4 F' I [: ]0 i库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的1 j1 N3 h2 V8 \+ M
, i0 v' ^$ I" R: [/ o! a: q0 T9 [: }推动力之一。
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8 ]* g% m/ O. \$ J" k- }02
* }# }$ {$ `6 S, g& e2 W) u1 P; v# L# t% q
有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
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0 y' c' K$ g4 S, x1 q n需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
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加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣
+ N3 P3 `: \! Z- o
+ C' C& M6 X% f8 C/ d的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至- X2 g# @ [* F( e- D
+ U" a/ z# j+ V9 ?6 N! r+ k今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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