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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘!鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽!(转)
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。
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+ z* K2 c! v& a过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。
5 X0 H$ g, D6 G1 a. `# m/ u- J% k链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日,比特币(BTC)出现大幅波动,当. T; K- R1 ^5 b* t# U r. S
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天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力,但未实现净损益(NUPL)等链上指标表明市场1 C$ W& n. [1 A2 ?
# d" }$ j1 Q2 Y8 \# |4 _9 H! q处于健康的看涨状态。2 _8 K4 z3 Q. Z; D( Q5 d
5 P% o- j7 q6 } c
AMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值,但在12月中旬! I# z) m' S/ L# k# R( S" s, S; B7 W
. v( o$ f3 [+ T9 V) a
短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象,引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF
) j, _' e2 o3 [$ B$ I( E; n# Q) ]. z1 P; R3 \& B
获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。8 P8 s, g( G: k) d; I
# S% H4 N* Y q- y8 {/ r) }, QAMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况,评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来,& g+ r- a& d7 O4 H. p3 e
( L& n5 w( ^- Y+ rCoinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提
% D: t7 ?6 ^( }4 s
( r; b1 K6 r3 _- A' ^' E及,但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。+ P% j" G3 u5 U0 m l2 M6 A
8 r, ?1 o" Q, ?9 M4 O1 k其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率,即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较
7 D, W3 ^! f x0 ~& O
6 \6 }. F5 m: g低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升,表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强
" H" j- u; A1 b1 O3 z F* e& H2 N" H
% ~$ y& f& F5 `% o# L- Y劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。 E% U7 V/ |* U# \/ s6 w
& Y* ^- |3 g6 n, [
然而,该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限,表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF7 }- X+ S0 f9 _3 _
p- `+ F; `' J# i4 F, c申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。
* t8 y; N6 t% }* N* k
1 ]0 s- L5 x1 h- c7 \/ R; ^虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高,但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日,比特币
g1 Y+ `. }: o$ m l
6 v+ J0 H* ], K8 S% o4 ZNUPL攀升至0.5以上,这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反,市场既不处于欣喜状态,也不5 w" C5 D* W, V) ^/ W6 H* G# N
( ~6 V1 S: R8 o7 t1 }绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期,这也与比特币最近几个月无法) @% _# G/ _; F, A9 a" b2 s
4 I u* w8 K" ?
继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。
, q$ Z5 `1 t- P9 g0 R2 O3 S2 `& I" o: p3 F1 S( R3 e
0 m! ?2 H. I6 v: T因此,比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的; A2 F& h4 M3 }5 R
$ H1 L+ @: l' X2 }
关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。! I" G `9 E/ W8 D
. e4 q2 s, @1 j. L' }& R1 Z- |5 o4 D9 G1 w' w
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