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[打法交流]
玩双色球防骗技巧----“一码中蓝”,搁你头上你晕不晕?(转)
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玩双色球防骗技巧----“一码中蓝”,搁你头上你晕不晕?嘀嘀嘀”,短信来了。
2 p1 z. u/ f% A打开一看:“彩票公司回报彩民,向您透露本期双色球蓝号:15。请勿外传,机会只此一次,请善加把握。”1 b& U2 f0 q1 {9 x, `. H. W
你嗤之以鼻:“切,哪来的骗子!”. k6 r9 S' b( j6 m
一开奖,你傻眼了:蓝球15。
$ Y. `1 K* P3 h) x4 q- D. s+ j大腿拍烂了也来不及了!我怎么就没相信人家呢!彩票公司直接告诉我号码了我咋就没信呢!早知道我买它十万注蓝球15哇!% l( e; {, v# x$ L) o3 p! s9 g
还说人家是骗子,人家开奖之前告诉我号码,就一个15,一开就中了,人家哪里骗我了!
/ |& c5 W% o) C O: ]* M0 s于是,你疯了一般后悔、痛恨自己错失良机。* V* s* s# J5 Q8 g
再过几分钟,你的想法发生了变化,刚才的悔恨已经变成了希望----要是它再给我发一次该多好!' m; Z& z, o& h: C6 g
这时电话打过来了:“恭喜您中奖,蓝球15您打了多少倍?”: d" ^0 |" ^) x) B2 A( ], t2 w
你捶胸顿足,求对方再告诉你下期的蓝号。
, Q! i# U0 k! d3 D对方犹豫不决,你主动提出给人家好处。
) J0 Y, N: @/ K2 Q# W& ^# v于是,用一万块钱买了下期的蓝号。
" \2 T" L1 u4 |# a9 a. Q( I' |他告诉你10号。
$ V: o4 ?+ E) a c/ T$ C接下来呢………………
& s' j* x. P# S………………………………
$ {- i+ Q/ B* i……………………………………6 l+ q6 M) y9 J
你倾家荡产买的蓝球10,全折了。1 C0 @4 {$ s) c- Y
明明它就是骗子嘛!' F* B4 C2 s0 A3 }1 |, e; Z) e" a9 }
可是,他那个蓝球15是怎么准的呢?
) w# R5 ^+ b* y9 s" ^这就是幸存者偏差。你看它只看到一个点,而他面对的却是16万个随机目标。
; i0 |5 A/ R4 }7 p- \他给这16万个电话号码发短信,第一万个人它告诉蓝球1;第二万个人它告诉蓝球2;第三万个人它告诉蓝球3……你是第十五万个人中的一员,他告诉你15。
( p8 t% L& @( k5 x一开奖,必定有一万个人会发现自己收到的“唯一的蓝号”中奖了。7 L& q K. t/ B/ k3 w Q6 I
这一万个人中可能有二百个恰好是彩民。) ~& G8 K$ y1 a1 T
这二百个彩民当中肯定可以涌现出一两个像你一样“头脑灵活”的人。
+ ^1 ]$ d4 Q5 Y+ W( L8 f于是,你幸运地成为“一码中蓝”的上钩者。
+ f" D5 q/ n: I
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