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[lastpost] => 2645144 比特币彩虹图预测:BTC到2025年将达到45万美元?(转) 1714554541 爬格子的瘦书生
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
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总在线: 12042 小时
本月在线: 30 分钟
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首先回顾下本周发生的事情:熊:美国ZF开始将其查获的暗网电商丝绸之路的" v; k K- w6 y( K+ ?! z$ b
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总计30174枚比特币转向了交易所,相关人士认为这是抛售的前兆,因此带来了恐慌,
2 n* U$ E9 s7 t: t4 I# e) E- k( [
方舟基金,灰度基金都抛售了比特币。这导致币比特币一度跌到64500附近。
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牛:(1)Fidelity,Blackrock都在持续增持比特币,其中blackroak增持3100枚,% P+ N$ ], X1 t% n) P/ K- N" k
s/ ^. j! k9 ]8 X, vFidelity增持1100枚(2)神秘地址以100枚为单位疯狂购入比特币,越跌越买,四天
5 f8 M* B0 c' h1 s; N6 z \7 y" y, M7 R* R E# e4 m4 U. {% X
内抄底2170枚。个人猜测可能是某国ZF在买入,如果未来的有一天,某个国家ZF/ a' ]9 d. ?+ [
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宣布其持续买入比特币,可能就是准备抛售,见大顶的时候(3)usdt4天内增发30亿
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' V3 C% J: u8 I枚,在过去的日子,以周为单位,USDT增发都会带来币价大涨聊完了新闻,我们回到
! z# c+ G8 |0 n5 b- X$ P* E+ T0 [( [- h' z0 j
k线。首先看比特币:从日线上看,比特币在两个红色矩形之间(60000,72000)形成1 g6 n0 V+ J/ J9 G% R( ]
) y6 q. g6 ?) z B3 a0 f. z* F- w震荡,振幅逐步收窄,很快就要选择出方向。考虑HSEMA9逐步逼近蓝色EMA18,死
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叉一旦形成,上涨趋势会被破环,比特币将测试下方红色矩形6万的位置。因此,为了
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, j3 a. v; E7 {$ {+ M0 T避免死叉的形成,比特币需要快速反弹。反弹只有突破绿色区间71300的位置才可以确5 P4 q8 N9 `( T
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定一个更高的高点,从而走出下降趋势。如果无法站稳71300,再次测试60000只是时
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间问题。如果6万不保,下方HS矩形是大支撑,也就是53000~50000的区间。个人认8 \( v3 @5 M7 s9 \7 e
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为这是最坏的情况,不认可一些人认为去3万。- i0 B7 Q& s$ `" g
4 ^) }# O' p# b0 ^% X' F8 w从4小时来看基本和日线一致,无需赘述。不过4小时的EMA200形成了一个比较强的支撑
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,已经测试4次进行了反弹。本人也多次在EMA200做多吃到了短线涨幅。但考虑一个支撑
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, P* D2 o2 r/ w' {8 x3 e2 Q* }) G) M6 p位被多次测试,那么其跌破的概率就越来越多。因此,如果比特币不能快速收复73100, x4 z6 ?& ^6 z7 M: r1 J
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EMA200跌破只是时间问题,下一步就看60000的表现。1 _& j6 k9 `7 M1 }4 z, E
7 Q- [2 `# T7 I, O8 U$ s1 Y5 f1 I考虑美股连涨5个月有短期见顶的信号,结合美国可能抛售的3万枚比特币。本人近期看空,
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认为比特币至少会去次6万。$ h& }/ ]0 P2 o
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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总在线: 16840 小时
本月在线: 8 小时
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当前离线
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总在线: 12077 小时
本月在线: 1 小时
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当前离线
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当前离线
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本月在线: 30 分钟
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7 d9 S$ m: v' R2 M, `2 ^' M! O抛售量这个也是很多的了吧 |
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当前离线
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策小分:
总在线: 9352 小时
本月在线: 2 小时
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