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[lastpost] => 2818458 星桥资本:BTC估值压缩 下行风险可控（转） 1774997280 whywhy
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比特币最近的清算活动反映了过去的市场崩溃，例如FTX和Covid-19。
" S( v6 ?: d* B" F尽管市场波动挥之不去，但机构购买利息仍表明潜在的恢复。! x4 T5 V3 m+ {7 e
比特币的[BTC]最近的价格下跌使冲击波在市场上引发了冲击波，这引发了几个月来最大的长位置清算。5 D1 ]2 q C' q9 b9 M' o0 u
2 D3 R/ ?2 B( {$ R$ \! E0 x( i随着BTC跌落，一直担任看涨立场的商人迅速被迫淘汰，造成了巨大的损失。
; q# d) w$ |5 q) i2 c' [; I8 A1 w5 W
这种戏剧性的抛售与以前的市场崩溃相比具有令人毛骨悚然的比较，因此许多人想知道是否会出现类似的低迷。
. P8 \+ t3 [- O# [
: k! S% K3 Y3 o. J4 V- p( u. q市场重置运动？
6 A2 t# K5 q; R8 [$ \0 s最新数据显示自2023年9月以来，该比特币长清算的水平已经达到了看不见的水平。0 A2 | Z, p& O! E& e3 q+ L
8 v7 c$ Q# [/ ~; n
最新的清算量超过1.8亿美元，这一数字强调了交易者在突然下降之前处于看涨位置的极端信心。
! r' w$ q1 J+ u4 [& c6 j, t: |+ X! c1 U# J2 M4 a( |
突然的价格下降到约95.3万美元，引发了一系列强迫抛售的级联，迅速清除了长期杠杆率。
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市场对向上移动的高期望很快被粉碎，引发了严重的清算事件。
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0 P7 k" w( E @, D( w$ D1月下旬和2月初的陡峭清算峰值指出了过多的杠杆作用。这使杠杆贸易商措手不及，导致了最近历史上最重要的市场清洗之一。' S; T Q( ?) q, q
) y( f7 ^- v1 j+ r9 n+ g$ j
比特币：价格下跌的原因和影响
) V" X7 Z0 o3 A. u+ e! g突然的BTC价格下跌可以追溯到几个关键因素。过度驾驶职位是主要的驾驶员，交易者使用高杠杆被迫随着BTC的降低而被迫出售，从而引发了清算级联。5 t; J; l, H+ V1 J- W
) O( {) V/ ~7 @* f/ ?; [6 X, E宏观经济的不确定性，包括对货币政策或新法规的担忧，也使投资者震惊，并为抛售做出了贡献。
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4 M) @2 f& r& o O2 M; g这种价格下跌的影响很大。清算事件消除了许多过度使用交易者，重置了市场的杠杆作用。
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, ?/ M4 a: k$ J. x9 }9 L( }) M它还提高了波动性，导致价格急剧波动。但是，随着杠杆率过多，市场现在可能处于更稳定，有机恢复的状态。* N! U5 n/ w. E! f; h) ]2 H6 T
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与类似的猛mm撞崩溃的比较 5 Q- ]* G: ^; o5 ^' r( ]
最近的清算活动显示与过去的市场崩溃相似。
6 P. x2 V- j k/ J
8 C8 W) I: m& H) W- b; ?- k比特币：重置期望; D' H2 [, M6 B3 E
Coinbase Premium Gap揭示了重大的购买利息之后比特币的蘸至$ 92K- $ 95K范围。
u4 s3 C) @; p( \$ n2 I1 I7 t O6 I( y* F# s$ o& f" b+ Z- {
正溢价表明，机构投资者正在介入以吸收流动性，利用价格下跌以在较低水平的情况下累积BTC。7 R1 p! G1 y$ C. D1 Z$ e1 k" D. z
$ D5 @: l, q1 L1 o! o尽管市场疲软较大，但这表明了强烈的机构需求。$ w3 L( n! v0 ]9 S
+ d" l) I+ \5 ~但是，MVRV动量指标具有仍然是负面的自今年年初以来，暗示许多投资者仍在水下。
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从历史上看，负面的MVRV表明，如果信心不尽快恢复，则延长了整合或进一步的缺点。0 o: ]* z& m: }0 C6 Q
5 z. U: ]( e% K' N, r* E" X该清算事件具有重置市场情绪，尽管已清除了过度的杠杆作用，但市场仍然波动。
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