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财联社9月9日讯(编辑 黄君芝)有“华尔街神算子”之称、美国投资机构Fundstrat Global Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee周一预测,到今年年底,比特币价格可能达到每枚20万美元的“里程碑”。" p% _2 `1 t, b1 b- r( y 
Lee在接受最新采访时表示,美联储料在9月17日的下次货币政策会议上降息,这将推高比特币价格。 
5 G/ X' X, k  |5 K( e. t( E“比特币和以太坊等加密货币对货币政策非常敏感。* d" t0 h! t( A( M* G2 D 
我认为9月17日是一个重要的催化剂。我认为比特币在今年年底前可以轻松达到20万美元,9 L! @+ F2 j9 N# g! ~ 
我知道这是一个很大的变化。”他补充说。 
4 S/ y4 i7 x7 Y& I" F/ R* d4 yCoinGecko的数据显示,比特币最近的交易价格略高于11.2万美元,在过去24小时内上涨了不到一个百分点。在投资者对通胀、美国经济和其他宏观经济不确定性感到担忧之后,比特币价格上月触及124,128美元的历史高点。2 j0 @/ W& ~* ?( r  z 
Lee是2023年华尔街为数不多的多头之一。在2022年年底时他预言标普500指数将在2023年飙升20%以上至4750点。果不其然,该指数在2023年出人意料的大涨,最终价位与其设定的目标点位只差三十多点。据报道,在彭博追踪的策略师中,Lee的预测是最接近的,因此被人戏称为“华尔街神算子”。" E  C+ d  Y. P; E* v7 J$ x" Z 
尽管今年以来,美联储在降息方面行动缓慢,但随着数据频频显示美国劳动力市场降温,市场普遍预计美联储将在本月的议息会议上降息。渣打银行甚至预计,美联储本月将降息50个基点,是先前预估降息幅度25个基点的两倍。 
  l+ d- _3 n; ~Lee强调,8 d' n* r4 C+ o5 Y0 V 
以史为鉴,随着流动性进入市场,加密货币通常在低利率环境下表现良好, 
$ w( N: E2 L6 T; _, i股票也是如此。美联储去年三次降息,均导致主要加密货币的价格上涨。 
+ f" j3 h- d9 I2 O: H! P! u无独有偶。华尔街投行伯恩斯坦(Bernstein)的分析师此前也表示,当前的加密产品牛市才刚刚开始。他们认为比特币在未来6至12个月内将达到15万美元至20万美元之间的周期峰值,并称加密货币的这轮“漫长而疲惫的牛市”将持续到2027年。 
5 G. R! y3 n2 H4 L" \“现在我们相信特朗普ZF正处于关键任务模式(包括SEC/CFTC),以将美国打造成世界加密货币之都,因此市场峰值还远未到来。我们预计加密货币市场将出现长期牛市,持续到2026年,并可能在2027年达到峰值。”分析师们指出。! G) m) ]" F) E1 E' _" ~ 
今年7月下旬,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)主席保罗·阿特金斯(Paul Atkins)宣布了“加密项目(Project Crypto)”,这是一项旨在为加密资产创建“清晰而简单的道路规则”的倡议。与此同时,特朗普签署成为法律的《天才法案》(GENIUS Act)则为美元支持的稳定币创建了第一个联邦框架,标志着另一个重要里程碑。# F; ?! o/ w  g3 f$ P 
(财联社 黄君芝) 
( A: f$ h: V* O  s& R  O  c |   
 
 
 
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卧槽20万刀?老李这嘴比我的骰子还邪乎,不过降息真能拉盘的话老子全梭了 |   
 
 
 
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