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回复 8# wlj353400
$ l0 \# z1 O- n% s9 d. `$ ~+ _) t |
9 G& H- C2 s7 G1 k' W3 N( s 你看看你每次都是你觉得，你觉得根本就是shit。对比一下两个人的地位和生活水平就觉得觉得怎么样了，这么不虚心 |
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同意 我自己也有做 牌面調查..& z$ A1 _4 |4 n4 _
說也奇怪 的確某一方連續自然贏3場 甚至是兩場 優勢就會轉到反方 最少70%: O9 A0 J& b$ t/ j
9 j' j4 \3 [* x2 j& v但這種機會不多 只能說該多多把握了! 比如天七對天6 天8對天9 或者例牌天8 天9即殺 一般人看到這種牌局 90%的人都會觀望好幾手 版主說的是另一個反向思維..大家幾乎天天WD的 可以做個記錄分析分析再行動! |
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回复 101# huyunzhou 5 d( N9 J) G, c2 l' \6 n' ^1 L
( B# ~) i% r4 D! ~& Y' n
$ _7 H0 B$ p5 u7 V7 ~6 h netural win = 例牌因為長期, 國外DC 工作 所以用了很英文專業用語 |
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怎么算出来的，很好奇。这个我的确算不出来，为什么是87%？算法是什么？ |
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第一部分: 不消牌的百家樂 連續三口 即贏 (netural win) 閒閒閒/莊莊莊 下局買相反如果閒莊閒, 下局 ...8 J0 b; m! e% O8 J- o" {
wlcomp 发表于 2011-7-22 11:16 
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& z* _, g' z2 Z# h/ { “連續三口 即贏 (netural win) 閒閒閒/莊莊莊 下局買相反”这个概率1-50%^3=87.5%，这个我懂，可是面两条也是那么算的么？下面两条应该是条件概率吧？应该是50%，welcom先生，小弟说得对么？请斧正 |
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回复 116# garysgarys
/ s+ F- r M3 S$ L: w8 x
3 Z5 F1 Y9 V: N) ]% O& h
. V, N4 Z6 T6 ?9 ?# R" c6 B 只例牌才是真正1/2, 所以三例牌之再連,或者再跳: 1/2^4=12.5% , 不發生的机會= 1-12.5%=87%2 Q* x& C7 x; G2 |$ z, M
0 y' }" M3 n9 ?/ c& O$ p* h- {用電腦做一百萬局是=65%左右, 因有"和", |
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回复 12# wlcomp 8 x7 Y+ m" X9 X8 @# K
3 Z7 I3 ~1 h% G: c$ U* P3 j# K
3 F- C" L) C- G; V& h+ p# F2 |; ] 这个我看明白了，直杀3次以后如果是您上面出的情况 ，胜率很高，是吧！这个有过实验吗？ |
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