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我们同样举一个诱再举一个阻的战例来看看都有哪些特征。
$ N+ `9 x# b, C# }% O) f3 f% D& x- U; E2 s `
2007--2008赛季德甲首轮:
$ K, j, s a: v# A& w1 N$ }# Y4 }3 X7 {0 ]. Q4 P
汉诺威VS汉堡(威廉希尔2.50 3.20 2.50; 立博2.50 3.10 2.50)再标准不过的平手盘,
0 }& S, L. h$ r$ b& @0 A9 S! `' w4 c, }1 Q& S% ^
再看基本面:热身赛汉诺威7连胜,汉堡6胜2平,; f1 y- R- G- b5 @8 u
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皇 冠:汉诺威0.82平手1.08汉堡,( s0 ~6 u( D$ k" g9 \
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亚盘在告诉玩家它判断汉诺威胜出的机会大一些吗?3 ]/ d0 K& D- ?0 w7 r: E1 y
2 v- j9 e6 q$ }( P/ f再看:汉诺威近五年对汉堡的交战记录为5胜4平仅一败。7 _1 c" }+ `- x, q) e a7 u0 g* R) X
' e! h6 b, J$ x8 `' L, D9 j
90%的不败率是玩家认为主队安全的基础,同时一定会有大多数玩家产生这样的心理:【我不会这么倒霉吧?五年才输了一次,我一去它就会输第二次?】
$ ?# h6 `% c3 ~/ G" P; E1 E
( J* W; f0 j/ ]2 m所以,HG低水诱主队之心已经昭然若揭了,结果:汉堡1:0小胜。9 h R7 u0 |" g" s' f
, U! Z: Z9 ?8 T: ]推理过程
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(1)庄家没有给出让你一眼就能发现端倪的倾向,(2)答案往往隐藏在两支球队的基本信息里。1 ?! n8 ]! e/ s7 s4 X: f- k
3 C5 M$ X: L0 R7 f" a- }/ n# G4 g(3)庄家仍然会以平衡注码为主。但不介意给它其实并不看好的球队以便宜。(4)诱因对玩家很有吸引力。 |
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很经典的诱盘,
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! ?, i4 x7 D( A+ I) R) n! T还有一种情况 同样的盘口,在往绩中,主队优势,但是 客队 做客时,保持全胜记录,0 x' c0 R# s- s( m
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此时 两种相反的基本面往绩 , 上盘低水打出 概率变大, 诱盘 不成立 |
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这个好像没有把盘路走势分析出来,只是仅仅从初盘加以分析了; |
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