优惠论坛
Well123
注册
找回密码 |
天策评选的优秀公司,所有会员与公司发生的问题我们将负责尽力协助处理。
收起/展开
新晋公司
 

新晋公司具有驻站代表,并不在论坛纠纷服务范围内,请会员自行判断选择

  • 356
S级信誉公司
ManBetX万博
YZ
乐投
taptap(点点)
E世博
A级信誉公司
吉祥坊
星宝合营
乐动体育
B级信誉公司
bet365
C级合作公司
CMP
金星
LOKI
平博
  • 推荐主题
  • 热门活动
  • 币圈快讯
  • 商城动态
重要通知
 
论坛搜索
              搜索
Array ( [fid] => 6728 [description] => 理论知识,玩法技巧,专业术语解释,迈向体育菠菜高手的摇篮! [password] => [icon] => 7c/common_6728_icon.png [redirect] => [attachextensions] => [creditspolicy] => Array ( [digest] => Array ( [usecustom] => 1 [cycletype] => 0 [cycletime] => 0 [rewardnum] => 1 [extcredits1] => 0 [extcredits2] => 0 [extcredits3] => 0 [extcredits4] => 0 [extcredits5] => 0 [extcredits6] => 0 [extcredits7] => 0 [extcredits8] => 0 [rid] => 3 [fid] => 6728 [rulename] => 加精华 [action] => digest [fids] => 6966,6903,6944,6958,6929,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728 ) [post] => Array ( [usecustom] => 1 [cycletype] => 1 [cycletime] => 0 [rewardnum] => 5 [extcredits1] => 0 [extcredits2] => 0 [extcredits3] => 0 [extcredits4] => 0 [extcredits6] => 0 [extcredits5] => 0 [extcredits7] => 0 [extcredits8] => 0 [rid] => 1 [fid] => 6728 [rulename] => 发表主题 [action] => post [fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6815,6937,6943,6970,6869,1121,6934,6903,6974,6944,6958,6929,6874,6894,6765,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6900,6902,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728 ) [reply] => Array ( [usecustom] => 1 [cycletype] => 1 [cycletime] => 0 [rewardnum] => 0 [extcredits1] => 0 [extcredits2] => 0 [extcredits3] => 0 [extcredits4] => 0 [extcredits6] => 0 [extcredits5] => 0 [extcredits7] => 0 [extcredits8] => 0 [rid] => 2 [fid] => 6728 [rulename] => 发表回复 [action] => reply [fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6815,6937,6943,6970,6869,1121,6934,6903,6974,6944,6958,6929,6874,6894,6765,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6900,6902,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728 ) ) [formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";} [moderators] => [rules] => 1)发布主题帖+1经验+1活跃币,回贴+10华小分
2)Lv.1及其以上级别会员可以发布主题帖,Lv.1及其以上会员可以回帖
4)转帖请在主题上标明
5)禁止发布与本版块无关的主题(违反,帖子转移到相关版块,并扣50经验
6)禁止回复与主题无关的帖子(违反,帖子删除,并扣10经验 [threadtypes] => Array ( [required] => 1 [listable] => 1 [prefix] => 1 [types] => Array ( [137] => 体育菠菜玩法规则 [138] => 体育菠菜心得方法 [139] => 体育菠菜问题咨询 ) [icons] => Array ( [137] => [138] => [139] => ) [moderators] => Array ( [137] => [138] => [139] => ) ) [threadsorts] => Array ( ) [viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 81 83 84 87 89 90 91 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8 92 [postperm] => 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92 [replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92 [getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92 [postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92 [postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92 [spviewperm] => [seotitle] => [keywords] => 足球,篮球,体育,规则,打法 [seodescription] => 理论知识,玩法技巧,专业术语解释,迈向体育菠菜高手的摇篮!<br /><a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/thread-51289-1-1.html" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜新人必看】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=33" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜规则】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=34" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜心得】</font></a> <a href="http://www.hrceluebbs.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6728&filter=type&typeid=100" target="_blank"><font color="red">【体育菠菜问题咨询】</font></a> [supe_pushsetting] => [modrecommend] => Array ( [open] => 0 [sort] => 0 [orderby] => 2 [num] => 10 [imagenum] => 5 [imagewidth] => 200 [imageheight] => 150 [maxlength] => 0 [cachelife] => 900 [dateline] => 0 ) [threadplugin] => Array ( ) [replybg] => [extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";} [jointype] => 0 [gviewperm] => 0 [membernum] => 0 [dateline] => 0 [lastupdate] => 0 [activity] => 0 [founderuid] => 0 [foundername] => [banner] => [groupnum] => 0 [commentitem] => [relatedgroup] => [picstyle] => 0 [widthauto] => 0 [noantitheft] => 0 [noforumhidewater] => 0 [noforumrecommend] => 0 [livetid] => 0 [price] => 0 [fup] => 6831 [type] => forum [name] => 体育知识讲座 [status] => 1 [displayorder] => 5 [styleid] => 0 [threads] => 2735 [posts] => 23142 [todayposts] => 0 [yesterdayposts] => 0 [rank] => 113 [oldrank] => 113 [lastpost] => 54769 关于凯莉指数 1770736245 强龙出海 [domain] => [allowsmilies] => 1 [allowhtml] => 1 [allowbbcode] => 1 [allowimgcode] => 1 [allowmediacode] => 0 [allowanonymous] => 0 [allowpostspecial] => 1 [allowspecialonly] => 0 [allowappend] => 0 [alloweditrules] => 0 [allowfeed] => 0 [allowside] => 0 [recyclebin] => 1 [modnewposts] => 2 [jammer] => 1 [disablewatermark] => 0 [inheritedmod] => 0 [autoclose] => 0 [forumcolumns] => 0 [catforumcolumns] => 0 [threadcaches] => 0 [alloweditpost] => 1 [simple] => 16 [modworks] => 1 [allowglobalstick] => 1 [level] => 0 [commoncredits] => 0 [archive] => 0 [recommend] => 0 [favtimes] => 0 [sharetimes] => 0 [disablethumb] => 0 [disablecollect] => 0 [ismoderator] => 0 [threadtableid] => 0 [allowreply] => [allowpost] => [allowpostattach] => )
打印 上一主题 下一主题
[体育菠菜心得方法] 对盘口的分析
[复制链接]
avatar
跳转到指定楼层
1#
1、 根据基本面情况确定强弱定位5 n$ z5 k7 P) U4 @$ t9 F: _( i# O

- P! I0 w! v' C' Q+ c! A% L(1)对下游球队的战绩。
- _) t+ J: W4 v: j4 J  j
- ~$ \  ^/ \# ?3 q; e' p(2)对中游球队的战绩。) e& \' {; ~0 k& T. s

" v' R, {# R  Y, `* C* a! e% A(3)对上游球队的战绩。
/ d' A' ]0 c/ E; m& Q" u
" Y8 t' B( s$ K  k/ Y+ \(4)双方实力排名、历史交战记录) y9 K8 q# F5 G% f9 E  o/ E

$ U& s5 Y6 i5 Q一般以近4-10轮的战绩为对比,得出一个较为正常的实力倾向。% m, d& D$ {7 f
6 w& Q+ b( Z# w; u! |+ A
2、对比主客场胜率+ X2 c% e( C) u1 u
; E; n" d0 y3 v2 X3 ]
(1)主场胜率高于50%,主队不败可能较高, i( Q. i6 ^$ O2 w2 e
5 w% m+ d8 }8 r2 {* E2 k
(2)主场胜率低于50%。主队不胜可能较高+ S6 J; D/ g$ }+ ~3 K/ y/ }: n! m) w
$ _9 k& K0 ^* _" \0 n( v; E- m
3、亚盘盘型与实际盘口对照, B' }3 s7 P3 c3 [  V+ d9 T7 l

& k; y5 d- Z) Z; v(1)分析该盘口是实力盘还是心理盘。
5 ]- g0 e, I- F3 g
' L+ s: e7 M' z" W(2)盘型平衡点0.925(投注均衡水位)
) T1 \6 E# ]4 p7 ~7 P- B0 c6 r7 v0 N  v4 l2 p1 m
(3)盘型计算结果为上下盘(均为0.925水位),和局面大 6 Z" g# a9 N, Y) I! q! h
4 V; h" F4 t8 V7 }
(4)在符合盘型的情况下升盘,属于上盘力度较大
3 q* S6 v; B# b2 _7 F7 S" j; h9 h2 B; y# g! |
4、主队升盘或者降水是否具备题材支持,分析上下盘题材对哪方有利。 1 T# s2 x2 V8 m4 i
! e$ ^5 E% L: ?$ d4 d' T
(1)若是心理盘,一般是某一方有相当的题材,那么具有相当题材的一方,容易2 n  @% f- P5 d4 I7 p$ z

& c6 N2 [" ]' L$ x6 |成为热点。
3 ~; \# Z# q: P8 p- c: H3 K; d( v5 L9 B' S; e1 V
(2)若是实力盘,一般是造盘题材占优方有优势,容易成为热点。
! b+ F' u/ w2 d) h9 R
3 m0 U9 X0 ]7 p& p(3)当主队没有绝对热度题材时,不应升盘。
. g$ o. Q% L5 b* M, ]+ e; I6 E* u7 b& x
(4)主客双方求胜欲望都很强烈,单方面升盘或者降水,该方向不出。7 S! d2 T: {5 `) y

( ~' W* ^0 R* X# m# k(5)热度题材:人气、状态、主场、历史、保级升班、双线作战。
2 f) T8 o' d/ D: q# ^- W. ~$ C
0 y1 [7 @' s# x* n9 ~0 s: o4 K5、确定受热方向! ?  `, _9 t; z) Y( w

! ]' I, U1 z4 A& U  P$ r) R7 M% u根据上面题材分析后,若受热方走到高水,或走到低水而赔率不配合,均为不利。而维持中高水或高水,或者维持中低水,或者走到低水或升盘而赔率吻合,则有利。理由如下:
9 H$ h/ M6 o: U8 U8 @1 y* `  _# P' K% w, e, m
(1) 若受热方受热,必定通过不断变赔、变水并且保持吻合的方式来杜绝资金- D! c/ G: ~! L% n& f" P& {. w% S
6 b8 n2 T6 }& h# t' b
流入。 $ f) S) g% r7 d- y3 x- _  |
: C2 X# v) C2 i
(2)若受热方未能受热,则应维持在中水或低水位,在赔率配合下,保持稳定。
; Y( S4 S5 \+ R3 h) v" A2 u( @0 ~% n4 D+ J
(3)若受热方一直停留在中高水或高水,而不是走到中高水或高水,代表庄家做5 I8 d; o( m' B" [0 B

. W4 Y( Q# M: w* [' h: @冷受热方,只要赔率支持,也是有利的。
* I1 }! S0 w  X% {
9 z2 l8 f, G8 Q(4)盘型与实际盘项符合,且水位均衡情况下,一方升水阻盘属于造热下盘,上2 ?% n8 w8 p. w9 T+ U

- h7 v/ u' N* g盘出。 ! G# r; P" {8 g1 }- X

, `( A2 h" u5 k5 l+ w8 d(5)实际盘口大于盘型、水位远远高于盘型,水位不出。& M- M4 L( Q2 t9 B0 J: \( \

# ~  q! ~8 m/ q(6)盘口与欧赔的吻合度。* R+ q: h# R9 Y7 z5 Z

" P1 U3 h) Y+ d) ^3 A盘赔差异0.05以内属于合理区间。
( h4 _- p( x6 D
" V/ U7 d% J  t8 c盘赔差异0.1-0.15属于非合理区间。; w2 \6 @6 I& S% E8 g& _3 R
" m" K1 E& u8 l; P3 J5 M! c
(7)初始赔率的低赔方始终都是首选项,临场赔率的下跌方应该作为次选项。如果赔率下跌的是两方,那么选择下跌后赔率更低的一方。
5 A# e9 v  q) C% P( n7 _( T3 \$ I4 z: }' E4 c: N
6、最后检验阶段$ H  K0 t' K9 C

! ]: q4 ?& V; G0 D以上分析结束,以下即可做为投注前的最后一道工序:) \, F; u5 @$ d9 \! \, f
9 o( `% A! Z& P# d6 o; }
(1)检查高峰期水位。6 N' ?8 Z0 q' A1 \

5 K8 \. o# O+ a% a# P, d(2)几大主流公司盘赔对照。
: x8 H" l& k+ e9 L
9 y6 J) e8 i! _) ~  s) [" P(3)胜平负与标盘配置表对照搭配是否合理(可省略)。
avatar
2#
正在学习中,谢谢分享了
avatar
3#
学习了,虽然看的一头雾水!!
avatar
要先知道盘口啊
您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 论坛注册

本版积分规则

:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
{:8_286:} {:8_287:} {:8_288:} {:8_289:}
{:8_290:} {:8_291:} {:8_292:} {:8_293:}
{:8_294:} {:8_295:} {:8_296:} {:8_297:}
{:8_298:} {:8_299:} {:8_300:} {:8_301:}
{:8_302:} {:8_303:} {:8_304:} {:8_305:}
{:8_306:} {:8_307:} {:8_308:} {:8_309:}
{:8_310:} {:8_311:} {:8_312:}
{:8_313:} {:8_314:} {:8_315:} {:8_316:}
{:8_317:} {:8_318:} {:8_319:} {:8_320:}
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake:
未有绑定记录
 


Powered by 天策论坛   © 2007-2026 天策论坛 | 小黑屋 | 手机|
1717 : 0