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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后，SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。0 f. i; p* e) O' a8 {6 U) w' [
上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示，美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易，这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻，将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。' H+ @, L- T, l/ ~) U8 u& R) {
9 @% d! U$ I) w+ v; k' U, V比特币ETF历时10年终于上市，这将改变比特币的投资面貌，让机构和散户投资者
4 `) J3 y% r8 z, f& s5 L5 v, i+ n- i% q2 t( t3 l
. X: t: y0 X/ t) s9 t V
在不直接持有比特币的情况下，也能投资比特币。
; z$ g9 u, \; ^8 z# ~7 L J1 o4 n/ e' |& s
在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来，2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市，
1 g' o5 }1 W' u1 ]; @
8 W1 C+ a) Z0 {如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市，申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统
x" q7 v1 c! F) J0 I* f3 w t2 N% ^$ _) h9 \8 M' J9 V
资管机构，这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性，比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。6 {- b$ E8 M3 x. [
: |( x; E# n( b0 U9 N& Z" B& q1 Z从运作模式看，发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币，并交由Coinbase Global等
6 f. R0 @ c3 F2 d, ?! \4 B/ ] V j8 T' W! i% b0 }, `
托管机构储存，再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加/ `1 N. s1 X- _0 z, ]6 b. H5 s; G2 U
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哥期权交易所上市。此外，为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧，纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交- ~3 W+ g" I+ j) ?1 P4 m/ Y. R
, V' z4 F/ ~* a, Q
易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。; j' c( G& c7 t( C# |
, P" I; J" |. t5 t天朝（上海）自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示，这次比特币+ @7 J! v8 R/ L3 A2 V/ Q K6 ^4 G6 t8 u
2 d) A' D4 H- p2 S1 OETF通过，也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化，根本原因还是美国已经围
: h* r$ t; b, E/ b( M; Y! M& x7 o6 E0 W6 {5 m4 m9 |3 z$ P$ r. X+ t
绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构
9 t1 a% C {* n* A! x
0 c2 d5 g, P$ ?$ ]所接受，很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。
* e: [& E+ a0 n5 ~1 t, i6 E: o# O
) ?' ^* ~, P* [$ U/ b1 l6 T在比特币ETF获批后，市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表，美国投资机构Fundstrat ; \- x7 o* T2 P% t5 y: g5 P* ~
3 D' H' L; w0 a" ^4 i* c* F" iGlobal Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示，随着ETF获得批准，需求激增，
0 n/ t( A- A; n Q8 ]3 u P; ~! d. C" v8 A# B
比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元，超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元
6 W5 G' m. T+ l9 O. J% S
* V6 Q9 _& W2 f$ h的历史高点。在未来五年内，比特币可能飙升至50万美元。( z8 T* a2 d% C+ K8 ?
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不过，更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示，美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身
" k6 S! J+ ^: R8 ~- P) W' d2 x* Z7 t$ E, F/ W3 t w" ~, Z
并不重要，重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图：通过比特币市场的发展，引导金融机构和
0 L& z# j. O; [; R+ K( i. G+ ^ ]
4 U8 y$ i9 w# `' k, t g科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入，从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。( n& b. A$ b) v% q
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