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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后，SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。8 { X- ]! R9 K; ]2 K. H- l! @+ e( P
上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示，美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易，这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻，将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。# a3 x! j( _3 T# @. q+ _% b- q
+ K3 {& Y2 t* B* }: |7 Y比特币ETF历时10年终于上市，这将改变比特币的投资面貌，让机构和散户投资者 m P) L- R) a: ]
/ ?& t" ` Q. {; v
) k- E+ a5 }) q6 }2 T. v& |在不直接持有比特币的情况下，也能投资比特币。 d( [* h1 }- h0 {
- z7 m- Y) B$ p* N; B2 u& s
在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来，2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市，( E7 s' Y* c, ~2 p: D. I! O6 M) ?
* }8 f- d7 k, P" D$ u c如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市，申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统; X% t$ M& z- ?, P
4 K9 R5 [" a+ J9 u" s5 ~' j
资管机构，这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性，比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。* C9 A) x, y9 D- D
' z2 G( _" m) c( @' ?% x/ j
从运作模式看，发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币，并交由Coinbase Global等' ^) C9 G n! V) R7 k7 {
, E2 Q% c( f9 h6 o- U1 W托管机构储存，再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加9 I9 t# x* c4 E- J
* M$ C; `% u% f* D# M哥期权交易所上市。此外，为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧，纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交
& H7 E( v- O6 r5 e/ x: C2 u+ L8 `( T& S- ?/ P
易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。 a" {% c# C8 O
* [. i8 Z& e. k W3 B! v
天朝（上海）自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示，这次比特币* n* _/ f9 e3 a* @, a
% y; s( H0 k" S l5 d/ hETF通过，也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化，根本原因还是美国已经围: i! _. _+ u5 B" u
+ s- `! }$ }8 l" C绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构
8 ^5 O O, Z( N% \, h6 _0 r$ F3 Y0 Q% Q7 B. x
所接受，很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。6 a' a, M* K R X) G9 |7 l
' M* k/ z9 ~& v6 Y
在比特币ETF获批后，市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表，美国投资机构Fundstrat
' s' A% N' W6 Z" Q
0 F: ?9 c; c& T5 O0 l9 kGlobal Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示，随着ETF获得批准，需求激增，5 O$ O. b5 {$ L/ W2 y$ [& w
% \% u- \* s/ V/ K; e6 P
比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元，超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元5 C4 K% g( r" o! \% t
& G% K2 ?7 R" x3 T" S
的历史高点。在未来五年内，比特币可能飙升至50万美元。, o/ i. O ?* }. t8 o9 p$ i
; A9 @% _- U1 `4 P2 y
不过，更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示，美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身- ~4 O( m6 M0 i! ~0 e2 d0 a$ ^$ D/ Q
& h1 |: w1 |' E2 c& `
并不重要，重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图：通过比特币市场的发展，引导金融机构和
. \# F; O( m" w4 g8 t
# G8 N, L# U1 O3 W科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入，从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。5 N, } v: Y: A+ W$ f& l
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